Sunday, November 01, 2020

Coronavirus News (306)

‘You can certainly see how he could win’: Why Trump isn’t done yet Retain the Sun Belt and hold Pennsylvania: That, in a nutshell, is Trump's narrow path to four more years. ....... Trump himself has predicted that the election ultimately “will end up in the Supreme Court.”  ......  "Even though the national numbers are much worse than where we were against Hillary at this point, the battleground numbers are virtually the same," a Trump campaign adviser said.



‘She Kind of Reminds You of Margaret Thatcher’: Liz Cheney Prepares To Make Her Move Could the daughter of one of the more reviled leaders in recent GOP history become the face of the party as soon as next year?   

Warren will make case to be Biden's Treasury secretary Warren's move could set up a marquee fight over what will be one of the most consequential Cabinet roles in a Biden administration. .............  the job is appealing because it is a once-in-a lifetime opportunity to enact some of the “big structural change” she talked about during the presidential primary, rather than just pressuring Cabinet officials from her Senate perch. Much of her life’s work has revolved around the intricate rules and levers of power in the executive branch. ............ if Warren does not get the Treasury spot, she would likely want to stay in the Senate and push for a seat on the chamber’s influential Finance Committee, which oversees the agency. ........... “I used to think that if there was reincarnation, I wanted to come back as the president or the pope or as a .400 baseball hitter. But now I would like to come back as the bond market. You can intimidate everybody,” James Carville said during Bill Clinton’s presidency.  

Biden is already forming a government. Here's what his Cabinet could look like. An array of officials, from progressives like Elizabeth Warren to establishment types like Susan Rice, are seen as likely for key posts...........  he has pledged would be “the most progressive administration since FDR.” ............  Think Susan Rice, but also Elizabeth Warren. Pete Buttigieg, but also Karen Bass. ........... It did not go unnoticed when Biden in April called corporate America “greedy as hell.” He has also proposed raising the corporate tax rate. ......... It’s totally about what do you do with the incredible hollowing out that Trump has done ... so many of the agencies just are empty, the career people have left. ........... One name often mentioned as a potential secretary of State is Rice, who was Obama’s national security adviser .............  “When [Biden] shows up on the first day, he’s not going to need to be told where the Situation Room is. He’s been in the Situation Room for hundreds of hours. So he’s going to come in as … the most experienced and qualified person in terms of federal experience of anybody in the history of the country.” ............ The prospects of Biden’s legislative agenda would rest heavily on whether Democrats win the Senate. ...........  Biden signaled an openness to ending the 60-vote filibuster rule, a practice President Barack Obama recently called a “Jim Crow relic.” “The filibuster is gone,” said Harry Reid, the influential former Senate majority leader and a friend of Biden. “It’s not a question of if, it’s a question of when it’s going to go … Next year at this time, it will be gone.” ...........  it is not Biden "moving to the left," but "Biden, and all of us around him, recognizing this is going to be a very consequential presidency." ................ Roosevelt initially “was certainly not thought of as somebody on the left.” At first, he placed trust in the nation’s financial institutions, pursuing a working relationship with both populists and business interests early in his administration. It was only after businesses balked and the relationship deteriorated that Roosevelt changed course. Then and now, Reich sad, “America was ready and willing and eager to try almost anything.” 





Coronavirus News (305)

‘A whole lot of hurt’: Fauci warns of covid-19 surge, offers blunt assessment of Trump’s response  the country is heading into a long and potentially deadly winter with an unprepared government unwilling to make tough choices. ......... with people congregating at home indoors. You could not possibly be positioned more poorly.” ..............  He has held maskless rallies with thousands of supporters, often in violation of local health mandates. ............ Fauci said he and Deborah Birx, coronavirus task force coordinator, no longer have regular access to the president and he has not spoken to Trump since early October. “The last time I spoke to the president was not about any policy; it was when he was recovering in Walter Reed, he called me up,” he said. Fauci said he phones into meetings of other staffers but largely avoids the West Wing because “of all the infections there.” ....................... Scott Atlas, a neuroradiologist and Trump’s favored pandemic adviser, who advocates letting the virus spread among young healthy people and reopening the country without restrictions, is the only medical adviser the president regularly meets with. ........... Some White House advisers have been leery of a public fight with Fauci — knowing his popularity is higher than that of the president. But they’ve also grown frustrated by his media appearances and complain he is too focused on his personal reputation and is “not on the team” .............. The doctor has become loathed among many Trump supporters, and Fauci has told others that he has experienced a surge in harassment and threats. .......... 
raises questions about what happens after Election Day, during what is projected to be the worst stretch yet of the pandemic. The Trump administration will be in charge of managing the pandemic until at least Jan. 20, no matter who wins. ...............  While Atlas has publicly rebutted assertions that he promotes a herd immunity strategy, he recently endorsed the Great Barrington Declaration — a document named after the town in Massachusetts where it was unveiled on Oct. 4 at a libertarian think tank — that calls for allowing the coronavirus to spread freely at “natural” rates among healthy young people, while keeping most aspects of the economy up and running. “He insists he’s not somebody who’s pushing for herd immunity,” Fauci said of Atlas. “He says, ‘That’s not what I mean.’ [But] everything he says — when you put them together and stitch them together — everything is geared toward the concept of ‘it doesn’t make any difference if people get infected. It’s a waste of time. Masks don’t work. Who cares,’ and the only thing you need to do is protect the vulnerable, like people in the nursing homes,” Fauci said. .......................  Fauci said that many people who catch the virus recover “virologically” but will have chronic health problems. “The idea of this false narrative that if you don’t die, everything is hunky dory is just not the case,” he said. .................. applauded the substantial growth in expertise about how to treat covid-19 since last spring that has led to a dramatic reduction in death rates.   






Why Trump Can’t Afford to Lose The President has survived one impeachment, twenty-six accusations of sexual misconduct, and an estimated four thousand lawsuits. That run of good luck may well end, perhaps brutally, if Joe Biden wins. ...........  Given that more than a dozen investigations and civil suits involving Trump are currently under way, he could be looking at an endgame even more perilous than the one confronted by Nixon. .............  Trump has famously survived one impeachment, two divorces, six bankruptcies, twenty-six accusations of sexual misconduct, and an estimated four thousand lawsuits. ........ about nine hundred million dollars’ worth of Trump’s real-estate debt will come due within the next four years. At the same time, he is locked in a dispute with the Internal Revenue Service over a deduction that he has claimed on his income-tax forms; an adverse ruling could cost him an additional hundred million dollars. To pay off such debts, the President, whose net worth is estimated by Forbes to be two and a half billion dollars, could sell some of his most valuable real-estate assets—or, as he has in the past, find ways to stiff his creditors. ............ He has testily insisted that he won both Presidential debates, contrary to even his own family’s assessment of the first one. ............. I believe he’ll be prosecuted, because it seems almost undeniable how extensive and long his criminality is. If it doesn’t happen at the federal level, it has to happen at the state level.” She described the “narcissistic injury” that Trump will suffer if he is rejected at the polls. ................  the President is not just running for a second term—he is running from the law. .........  if Trump loses, “he’ll never, ever acknowledge it—he’ll leave the country.” ............. Trump could go “live in one of his buildings in another country,” adding, “He can do business from anywhere.” .......... in 2016, Trump in fact made plans to leave the United States right after the vote. .............. Trump’s posture, Scaramucci told me, was to shrug off the expected defeat. “It was, like, O.K., he did it for the publicity. And it was over. He was fine. It was a waste of time and money, but move on.” Scaramucci said that, if 2016 is any guide, Trump would treat a loss to Biden more matter-of-factly than many people expect: “He’ll go down easier than most people think. Nothing crushes this guy.” ............... The notion that a former American President would go into exile—like a disgraced king or a deposed despot—sounds almost absurd, even in this heightened moment ...........  Trump might well abscond to a foreign country that has no extradition treaty with the U.S. ......... Trump’s predicament “is that he hasn’t ruined our system enough.” ..............  One of Trump’s personal attorneys, the Supreme Court litigator William Consovoy, has initiated legal actions across the nation challenging mail-in voting, on behalf of the Republican Party, the Trump campaign, and a dark-money group that calls itself the Honest Elections Project. And a former Trump White House official, Mike Roman, who has made a career of whipping up fear about nonwhite voter fraud, has assumed the role of field general of a volunteer fleet of poll watchers who refer to themselves as the Army for Trump. .............. But if Trump loses by a landslide, Schwartz said, “he’ll have many fewer cards to play. He won’t be able to play the election-was-stolen-from-me card—and that’s a big one.” ............ Trump has provided insurance companies with inflated income statements, in effect keeping two sets of books: one stating losses, for the purpose of taxes, the other exaggerating profits, for business purposes.  .............. Trump writes little down, sends no e-mails or texts, and often makes his wishes known through indirect means. ............  “If he loses—if—we can expect that he’ll roll out pardons promiscuously, including to himself.” ...... “A self-pardon would be the ultimate act of constitutional onanism for a narcissistic President.” .........  “I believe he was right to offer the pardon but wrong not to ask for a signed confession that Nixon was guilty as charged. As a result, Nixon spent the rest of his life arguing that he had done nothing worse than any other President.” .............   “Trump 2.0 is what terrifies me—someone who says, ‘Oh, America is open to a strongman kind of government, but I can do it more competently.’ ” .........  the Trump News Network—a media platform on which he could continue to sound off and cash in ...........  Kushner, during that preëlection period, went so far as to make an offer to acquire the Weather Channel as a vehicle that could be converted into a pro-Trump network. ................ Trump could broadcast the show after spending the morning playing golf. Just as on “The Apprentice”—and in the White House—he could riff, with little or no preparation. ........... Trump has acknowledged that he’s not a book reader, and Schwartz has noted that, during the year and a half that they worked together on “The Art of the Deal,” he never saw a single book in Trump’s office or apartment. .............. Trump—whether inside the White House or out—will “continue to be a source of chaos and division in the nation.”