Saturday, October 31, 2020

Coronavirus News (301)

Late Night Is Too Nervous to Believe in Biden-Leading Polls “It feels like we’re all Charlie Brown going to kick the football, but we know at the last second Lucy’s gonna give us coronavirus,” Stephen Colbert joked on Thursday. 

Lies, Damned Lies and Trump Rallies Who you gonna believe, me or your own eyes? ........ It’s not so much that Trump is lying more as that the lies have become qualitatively different — even more blatant, and increasingly untethered to any plausible political strategy. ............. What Trump has been revealing, more clearly than ever before, is that he has a totalitarian mind-set. ..........  almost his entire party, and tens of millions of voters, seem perfectly willing to follow him into the abyss. 

The Voting Suppression Tipping Point For years, Republicans have made it harder and harder for Americans to vote. Is that strategy backfiring? ........... Even before the coronavirus, the United States had made it harder to vote than any other affluent democracy 

Household spread of Covid-19 is common and quick, a new CDC study finds The person exposed or suspected of having Covid-19 should be isolated before getting tested and before test results come back to protect others in the home ......... persons who suspect that they might have COVID-19 should isolate, stay at home, and use a separate bedroom and bathroom if feasible .......... all members of the household should wear masks at all times in common spaces ........  Infection was quick: Over half of the people (53%) who lived with someone battling Covid-19 became infected within a week, researchers found. Some 75% of these secondary infections occurred within five days of the first symptoms in the initial patient. ........... fewer than one half of household members with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infections reported symptoms at the time infection was first detected ............ clusters of people who live close together are at highest risk of getting it from one another. If children are part of that household, they may show minimal symptoms but still be contagious." ......... and not play with other children -- even outside ........ Have everyone wash their hands at every opportunity. Clean and disinfect all those commonly shared surfaces -- don't forget the refrigerator and microwave handles! ........... Keep everyone as stress-free as possible -- a hard task for sure -- and focus on healthy eating, regular exercise and quality sleep. ............ If you tested positive but had no symptoms, you can stop isolating at home 10 days after the date you had your positive test  

America and the Virus: ‘A Colossal Failure of Leadership’ In its destruction of American lives, treasure and well-being, this pandemic marks the greatest failure of U.S. governance since Vietnam. ......... “Of the more than 200,000 people who have died as of today, I don’t think that 50,000 would have died if it hadn’t been for the incompetence.” ............ As many Americans are dying every 10 days of Covid-19 as U.S. troops died during 19 years of war in Iraq and Afghanistan, and the economists David Cutler and Lawrence Summers estimate that the economic cost of the pandemic in the United States will be $16 trillion, or about $125,000 per American household — far more than the median family’s net worth. Then there’s an immeasurable cost in soft power as the United States is humbled before the world. ............  A 324-page study by Johns Hopkins found last October that the United States was the country best prepared for a pandemic. ..........   Trump argues that no one could have anticipated the pandemic, but it’s what Bush warned about, what Obama aides tried to tell their successors about, and what Joe Biden referred to in a blunt tweet in October 2019 lamenting Trump’s cuts to health security programs and adding: “We are not prepared for a pandemic.” ............. First, China initially covered up the scale of the outbreak. Second, even so, the United States and other countries had enough information to act as Taiwan did. The first two countries to impose travel restrictions on China were North Korea and the Marshall Islands, neither of which had inside information. ............... if Wuhan had been locked down just two weeks earlier, it’s conceivable that this entire global catastrophe could have been averted. ............. Sierra Leone in West Africa had effective tests before the United States did. .........  Japan is a densely populated country that did not test much and yet has only 2 percent as many deaths per capita as the United States. One reason is that Japanese have long embraced face masks ............... can be at least as effective as a vaccine in fighting the pandemic ........... Trump did almost everything wrong. He discouraged mask wearing. The administration never rolled out contact tracing, missed opportunities to isolate the infected and exposed, didn’t adequately protect nursing homes, issued advice that confused the issues more than clarified them, and handed responsibilities to states and localities that were unprepared to act ............  Trump’s missteps arose in part because he channeled an anti-intellectual current that runs deep in the United States, as he sidelined scientific experts and responded to the virus with a sunny optimism apparently meant to bolster the financial markets. ..................  if the United States had simply imposed the same lockdowns just two weeks earlier, 83 percent of the deaths in the early months could have been prevented. ......... A basic principle of public health is the primacy of accurate communications based on the best science. ............   “the President of the United States was likely the largest driver of the Covid-19 misinformation.” ........  You wouldn’t want an epidemiologist reviewing your M.R.I. scans, and it’s equally odd to have a radiologist managing a pandemic. ........... the right-wing website RedState denounced “the public health Gestapo” and called Dr. Anthony Fauci a “mask Nazi.” .......... A University of Chicago study found that watching the Sean Hannity program correlated to less social distancing, so watching Fox News may well have been lethal to some of its fans. .............. Americans have often pointed to the Soviet Union as a place where ideology trumped science, with disastrous results. ..........  Most striking, Trump still has never developed a comprehensive plan to fight Covid-19. His “strategy” was to downplay the virus and resist business closures, in an effort to keep the economy roaring — his best argument for re-election. ...........  More than 40 percent of adults reported in June that they were struggling with mental health ............ More than one-quarter of young adults said they have seriously contemplated suicide. ............ in what is arguably the richest country in the history of the world, political malpractice has resulted in a pandemic of infectious disease followed by pandemics of poverty, mental illness, addiction and hunger. .......  During World War II, American soldiers died at a rate of 9,200 a month, less than one-third the pace of deaths from this pandemic, but the United States responded with a massive mobilization. By 1945, a Ford assembly line was turning out one new B-24 bomber every hour. Yet today we can’t even churn out enough face masks; a poll of nurses in late July and early August found that one-third lacked enough N95 masks. .................  Instead of leading a war against the virus, Trump organized a surrender. He even held a super-spreader event at the White House, for Judge Amy Coney Barrett, and that’s why the White House recently had more new cases of Covid-19 than New Zealand, Taiwan and Vietnam combined. .............  if the U.S. had responded urgently and deftly enough to achieve Taiwan’s death rate, fewer than 100 Americans would have died from the virus. 



Coronavirus News (300)

Our opportunity to define the world we want to live in by Satya Nadella 
Er, Can I Ask a Few Questions About Abortion? You know who really reduced abortion numbers in the U.S.? President Obama, with the Affordable Care Act. .......... Jesus talks a great deal about helping the poor and healing the sick, so I could understand a religiously driven passion for public health or for universal health coverage, but he never evinced an interest in the unborn. ............. One particularly effective way to reduce abortions is to reduce unintended pregnancies through free access to long-acting reliable contraceptives. Partly because Obamacare covers contraception, the number of abortions in the United States has plunged to its lowest level since Roe v. Wade ............  the abortion extremism of the last few decades. ........ Wouldn’t we all be better off if “pro-life” became not just a zealous slogan but a compassionate way of life?

How Are Americans Catching the Virus? Increasingly, ‘They Have No Idea’ New outbreaks used to be traced back to crowded factories and rowdy bars. But now, the virus is so widespread not even health officials are able to keep up. ........... As the coronavirus soars across the country, charting a single-day record of 99,155 new cases on Friday and surpassing nine million cases nationwide, tracing the path of the pandemic in the United States is no longer simply challenging. It has become nearly impossible. ...........  many people are coming to a frightening conclusion: They have no idea where the virus is spreading. ........... “It’s just kind of everywhere,” said Crystal Watson, a senior scholar at the Center for Health Security at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, who estimated that tracing coronavirus cases becomes difficult once the virus spreads to more than 10 cases per 100,000 people. ...............  In some of the hardest-hit spots in the United States, the virus is spreading at 10 to 20 times that rate, and even health officials have all but given up trying to figure out who is giving the virus to whom. .............  This time, the diffuse, chaotic spread is happening in many places at once. Infections are rising in 41 states, the country is recording an average of more than 79,000 new cases each day, and more Americans say they feel left to do their own lonely detective work. ............. once an area spins out of control, trying to trace back each chain of transmission can feel like scooping cupfuls of water from a flood. ........... Most people, they said, are catching the virus through family and friends. ..............  the process of tracking cases and notifying people who may have been exposed is a gold standard of disease prevention but impractical after a certain level of infection. ......... “People are realizing that you can get it anywhere” ...........  Did she pick up an infected apple at the grocery store and somehow touch her eye? Should she have been wearing a face shield, in addition to her mask? The possibilities feel endless. “It’s just out there,” she said.  

2016 Nonvoters, a Key Prize for Biden and Trump, Turn Out in Droves In Pennsylvania and other battlegrounds, both parties are succeeding in coaxing infrequent voters off the sidelines. The all-important question is who does it better.  

Student Voting Surges Despite Efforts to Suppress It The coronavirus pandemic and new requirements in Republican-led states created voting obstacles for college students this year. Yet youth participation appears to be on the rise.

U.S. Says Virus Can’t Be Controlled. China Aims to Prove It Wrong. China’s approach to keep Covid-19 at bay has helped restore confidence and allowed businesses to reopen. But it is a strategy steeped in authoritarianism......... China has effectively sealed off its borders from the outside world and doubled down on efforts to eradicate the virus. When a crop of cases emerge, the government swiftly shuts down vast areas and quickly tests millions of people, to help keep local transmissions near zero. ...............  the way to open the economy is to first safeguard public health. .........  people had largely grown accustomed to wearing masks on subways and buses, even though Hangzhou has not had a coronavirus case in months. .......... China now represents the extreme, Communist version of a highly managed, scientifically backed approach that has worked in South Korea, Japan, New Zealand, Taiwan and other democracies. ............. many people in China say they are relieved that the pandemic seems to be under control, especially as the United States and countries in Europe confront a crush of new cases. ........ “In China, a word from a superior can be heard immediately and implemented quickly,” Ms. Gao said. “It’s the difference between individualism and collectivism.” .............. The Chinese foreign ministry has said the pandemic has “torn the emperor’s new clothes” off American democracy. ...............  When a single asymptomatic case of the coronavirus was detected last week in Kashgar, in the western region of Xinjiang, the authorities rushed to lock down the city. Officials demanded that more than four million people undergo tests for the virus, eventually finding nearly 200 cases, largely asymptomatic.  






As the West Stumbles, ‘Helmsman’ Xi Pushes an Ambitious Plan for China China’s leader emerged from a key Communist Party meeting newly emboldened, outlining a road map for the country for years to come. Some have warned of overreach. ............ the committee’s 200 or so voting members praised the country’s “major strategic achievement” in largely stifling the outbreak. .......... Party propaganda has asserted that China’s success in extinguishing Covid-19 infections shows its overall “institutional superiority,” and Beijing has promised to share a potential vaccine for the coronavirus. ..........  Chinese military moves have rattled neighbors. ....... “I cannot think of any serious country — with a big economy or even some with small economies — that does not have some concerns about China and Chinese behavior.” ..........  his highly personalized rule could last another decade or more. ......... “The dominant tone is that China has major opportunities for growth, for managing the process of decoupling in its own favor, and for setting the terms for the next stage of globalization” ............... as infections multiplied, Mr. Xi faced a sharp surge of public anger. ........ In the coming years, China should “make major breakthroughs in crucial, core technologies,” the Central Committee said, “entering the front ranks of innovative countries.”