Monday, September 14, 2020

Coronavirus News (232)

France reports highest daily coronavirus spike since pandemic began, India sees record rise There have been more than 28.7 million COVID-19 cases confirmed worldwide ........ domestic air travel in Wuhan, the original epicenter of the pandemic, has returned to pre-pandemic levels. ....... Antarctica is still free of COVID-19. Nearly 1,000 scientists have wintered on the ice and are getting a peek of the sun for the first time in months. Now the task is making sure incoming colleagues don’t bring the virus. 

No one is coming to save the global economy this time The coronavirus depression will be much worse than the last worldwide recession, because this time no country is strong enough to rescue the global economy. ..........  Skipping a recession doesn't come cheap. China spent half a trillion dollars avoiding the financial crisis, and in the years that followed it built up a massive, opaque shadow banking system that it has since been trying to tamp down since 2015. This year China's total debt – corporate, household, and government — climbed to 303% of GDP. ........... Since economic transactions are mostly human interactions, you can see the problem there. ......... our first wave never ended. We have handled the coronavirus badly. The US unemployment rate is sitting at 8.3%. Testing is splotchy. Washington was able to get its act together to blunt the full force of the coronavirus' onset, but now Democrats and Republicans are locked in an argument over whether or not the country needs another rescue package. It does. In fact, the whole world needs it.

A top disease expert is warning of 'another 12 to 14 months of a really hard road ahead of us,' and says the US has no national plan to stop it  the US doesn't have a national plan to stop the spread of COVID in the fall and winter. ...........  Dr. Anthony Fauci, the top US infectious disease expert, said Americans should expect to "hunker down" in the upcoming fall and winter months. ............. 62% of adults in the US are worried "political pressure from the Trump administration" could push the Food and Drug Administration to approve a vaccine "without making sure that it is safe and effective." ....... I don't go back and replay February and March. I play right now. ..........  "We have 50 state plans that in many cases are so different, so divided, and not necessarily based on good science. So, yeah, we got a long road ahead." 

Israel to reinstate strict three-week coronavirus lockdown 

Why A COVID-19 Vaccine Trial Would Press Pause how temporarily halting a trial can sometimes mean the process is working as intended.

The U.S. Doesn’t Want To Join A Global Effort To Stop A Global Pandemic

PODCAST-19_4x3

Sunday, September 13, 2020

Coronavirus News (231)

 A new study warns the virus is ‘a life-threatening disease in people of all ages.’

China-India border dispute: both sides see need for troops to quickly disengage Foreign ministers meet in Moscow for first time since Himalayan border tensions turned deadly But lack of trust undermines prospects for progress, observers say

The real economic reforms China needs to become less dependent on exports Despite talk of a new ‘dual circulation’ strategy, China’s slowing economy will only become more dependent on exports unless it overhauls its investment-led growth model to truly boost consumption There are efficiencies to be reaped in focusing resources on megacities and stripping away bureaucracy, but political will is lacking

“Unprecedented”: What’s behind the California, Oregon, and Washington wildfires The size, speed, and timing of the wildfires, coupled with the Covid-19 pandemic, have created a unique disaster. .......  “The grass is so dry, the temperatures are so hot, and the winds are so heavy ... and these conditions are exacerbated by the changing climate.”  ....... a strange dry lightning storm near the San Francisco Bay Area in August led to more than 11,000 lightning strikes and triggered more than 300 fires in its wake. ...... One hallmark of the recent blazes has been how quickly they gained ground, spreading over hundreds of thousands of acres in just a few hours. It’s a sign of just how much dry fuel was ready to burn. ...... and the smoke is affecting the health of millions now subjected to some of the dirtiest air in the world. 

IQAir Air Visual chart of the AQI of major US cities. Portland is top of the list with 333 AQI. Second is San Francisco with 231 AQI. Third is Delhi India with 158 AQI.

Fauci says US won't get back to normal until late 2021 

Reed Hastings: ‘Netflix is still in challenger status’   Netflix hates rules. Staff face no limit on holiday, nor do they need expenses approved. Everyone is deliberately paid more than their market rate — much more. “Brilliant jerks” are sacked. Big risk-taking is encouraged. Openness and transparency — “sunshining” — applies to almost everything, at least internally. Market-sensitive earnings data is shared with 700 staff (most companies treat them like nuclear codes). Individual salaries are searchable too. It is, in theory, the antithesis of bureaucracy described by the sociologist Max Weber: “Nothing but those little cogs, little men clinging to little jobs”. At Netflix “F&R” — freedom and responsibility — is the creed. ..........   But there is a hard edge. This company’s mantra is being “a team, not a family”. So good employees are subject to the so-called “keeper test”, where adequate performance is rewarded with “a generous severance package”. Radical candour extends to near-constant discussion of whether employees are a Netflix fit. It smacks of nonstop group therapy, with the risk of eviction at any moment, pour décourager les autres. “If your people choose to abuse the freedom you give them, you need to fire them and fire them loudly,” Hastings writes. ..........  “Hypermasculine . . . and downright aggressive” was co-author Meyer’s first reaction to Netflix’s culture. But for all the self-reflection, readers still might feel something is amiss. The system has an unfalsifiable quality, an answer to every flaw. But all systems have a fundamental weakness, don’t they? .........  the Netflix approach suits places where innovation trumps the need for consistency or safety. “At Netflix it has really been about, you know, tolerating some level of chaos and error, so that you stimulate more innovation . . . but then the question is, as we went from 200 people to 500 to 1,000 to 5,000, how do you not have the chaos overwhelm you?” ........   “If you just say no rules, then it is kind of anarchy,” he replies. “The question is, can you manage through values and context, so everyone is doing the right thing without central co-ordination? It’s the jazz metaphor versus the orchestra.”  .........  Hastings, though, describes himself as “a pretty average kid with no particular talent”. He grew up in the Boston suburbs, joined Marine officer training, then dropped out, heading to Swaziland with the Peace Corps. After MIT turned him down, his break was a place on Stanford’s computer science graduate programme. ..........  In business he fell into being a “people leader” without many people skills. ......... the unforgettable one-to-one meeting where he was ousted as chief executive. Hastings walked in, straddled a chair, then laid out Randolph’s weaknesses in a PowerPoint presentation. ..........  it is difficult to take your co-founder and then slide them out. I wanted to have a really clear rationale and explain why it was right for the business. And at that time I thought in PowerPoint ............  “I was big on clarity of thought, you know, on being precise.” ........ Hastings proudly takes “very few decisions”. ........ Beyond the US, Hastings calls Netflix “small fry”. Most of its growth is outside America, and its business model depends on keeping that expansion going. ...........  Netflix has no ads. No live sport ........ he once said Netflix wasn’t “in the truth to power business”? Hastings pauses. “It isn’t the best phrase I have ever used,” he replies. “What I meant is that we are not in hard news . . . We’re entertainment. You are right that there is a lot of truth in entertainment.” ............  “There is a movie theatre with a long line in front of the title: The Reassuring Lie. Then there is The Inconvenient Truth — and there are two people standing in line.” ...... Hastings, it turns out, remembered it slightly wrong. It was in the Christian Science Monitor. And there is actually nobody queueing for The Inconvenient Truth.