Sunday, February 10, 2008

OH, TX, PA: Treat Them Well




Barack by now has totally erased Clinton's national lead. But even before he did he managed to bring Clinton down to 40-50 in CA. Considering where he started in CA, that was huge. I am thinking he carried New York City.

Clinton 08 is counting on a strong showing in the three big March 4 states. Right now they are looking good, but they are not factoring in the fact that the rest of February looks great for Barack. His national lead is going to solidify. It is going to grow.

Since money is not a problem, it is important to do some extensive work in these three big states. Establish more offices, build organization. Run ads. Reach out to volunteers in states that have already voted and get them to do some major phone banking for these three states.

Clinton 08 counting on these three states is like Rudy counting on Florida. Rudy figured the January states don't matter. Clinton 08 thinks the February states do not matter.

Being aggressive in the South Carolina debate was a big reason why Barack swept that state. He might need to repeat that during the Texas debate. (Become Aggressive, Or Become Adlai Stevenson) Reagan also had a "I paid for this microphone" moment in 1980, was it?

Iraq continues to be his big selling point of differentiation.

Barack's Fairytale Position On Iraq War, Fairytale Candidacy, Fairytale Lifestory, Fairytale Hairstyle

The Real Super Tuesday, March 4: Knockout Punch

That is when he has to do it. You can do it, champ.

In The News

An Obama Memo: Sweep Atlantic Online Obama’s current lead over Clinton: 84 pledged delegates (a total that increased 57 this weekend) ..... Pledged delegates: Obama – 1030; Clinton – 946 ....... States won: Obama – 20; Clinton – 11 ...... Caucuses won: Obama 11; Clinton – 2 ....... Obama won an upset victory in Maine, a state where internal and external polls had Clinton leading in the days leading up to the caucuses. ...... He won a Red State, Purple State, and Blue States this weekend – showing he has broad national appeal and can win in every corner of this country. ...... he’s won a larger share of the popular vote ..... he is the candidate best suited to win Independents, play well in Red States, and beat John McCain in November .... Obama won’t just win an election, he’ll win a new majority for change, so we can finally solve the problems we’ve been talking about for decades.





Looking For 10 Ninja Women


DL21C is the right organization. But to be frank I was not awfully impressed with the people on its women's issues committee. (Martha Outed Kenton And Women With Issues) They are good for what they are used to doing: creating events. But they are not good for what I think needs to be done and how. (2.0 Penetrates DL21C)

Planned Parenthood is not the organization I have been looking for. It is a great, great organizaiton, but it is not hard core political enough for me. But Planned Parenthood is so big as an organization, I should be able to shop around and from the motley crowd I should be able to find myself 10 ninja women.

I might have found a lead in Rosemary who I met at the first Planned Parenthood I went to. She happens to be gay. But I felt a rapport with her. If she is not one of the 10, I got the feeling she will lead me to those 10. I am going to look around at the event Monday to look for the potential ninja women.

What qualities am I looking for?
  1. You are politically alert. The Spectrum On Gender makes sense to you. You feel the need to talk about gender to make progress on gender.
  2. You are willing to meet once a month for an hour. The hour will be videoblogged. The power is in the conversation.
  3. You know the term Web 2.0 and are comfortable with it. You have a high comfort level with the basic digital tools, all of which really are as simple as point and click.
  4. You are extremely comfortable with your writings, photos and videos ending up online. You will do that to reach out to women in small town America. You recognize NYC is the progressive capital of America, the world. Politically active women in this city carry a special responsibility.
  5. Ideally, we want to be replicated, in this city and across America. And we want all those groups of 10 women to link to each other's blogs. But there is no hierarchy. There is no central leader. Each group is independent and complete on its own.





The Need For A Race Gender Coalition
Muscular Gender Agenda

In The News

Obama wins Maine caucuses MarketWatch After Obama won contests on Saturday in Louisiana, Nebraska and Washington state, he was trailing Clinton by just 25 delegates. ....... Obama has tended to do well in caucuses to date, thanks to his grass-roots support, so he may edge Clinton out to complete a clean-sweep weekend.
Democrats neck and neck as Obama reclaims momentum with easy wins Independent, UK Wide margins of victory for Barack Obama in weekend voting have helped close the gap between the Illinois senator and Hillary Clinton ...... he may pull ahead by the end of this week. .... 796 so-called super-delegates ...... both camps have already launched a frenzied effort to woo super-delegates to their side. ..... He took both Washington and Nebraska by margins of roughly 68 per cent to 32 per cent. ...... voters in Washington DC, Virginia and Maryland are expected to favour him. ...... she had raised $10m (£5.1m) in new campaign cash since polls closed on Super Tuesday. Her aides meanwhile are pointing to 4 March, when they believe they can win in two key states, Ohio and Texas. ..... Obama has appointed the former Senate leader Tom Daschle to lead his lobbying. .... the possibility of an ugly floor-fight at the convention. .... if it is the delegates who finally break the tie in August, some will contend that the party will be making a mockery of the democratic process that came before in the primaries and caucuses.
Clinton shuffles team to blunt Obama's momentum Reuters Clinton replaced her campaign manager after a string of losses Saturday .... Maggie Williams, a top aide when she was first lady, had taken over from Patti Solis Doyle as campaign manager. Solis Doyle will move into the role of senior adviser. ..... the shake-up "can't be a good sign." ..... Obama's landslide victory in South Carolina seemed to be a turning point in the race. ...... if she does well in Ohio, Texas and Pennsylvania, she could win the nomination.