Thursday, August 10, 2006

Nation Building, Israeli Style?



There were clear signals ..... that Israel was already setting its sights on Lebanon's capital and beyond.
What is Israel upto? How far is it willing to go? I have been asking these questions of myself.

My first reaction was of surprise when this whole thing started. This is the first Israeli military incursion into another country in my active memory. Then there was this feeling that the offensive was disproportionately large. Two soldiers get kidnapped and you invade a country? Then I have been a student. I have been reading the conflict from as many angles as possible. I did not need to express displeasure. There were plenty others more informed than me, and closer to the ground who were doing so.

Now I am really curious as to the details of the Israeli plans. They are so methodical in what they are doing, they must have seen this coming.

Last night I watched a movie, The Bunker, where Anthony Hopkins has put forth a brilliant portrayal of Hitler during his final days. It is so well done, you find yourself giving a newfound respect to movies as an art form.

The Bunker (2001)
Amazon.com: The Bunker (1981) : Video
The Bunker - Movie Info - Yahoo! Movies
The Film Asylum - The Bunker film review
The Bunker - Movie Tome

The Jews have been through a lot as a people. The systematic annihilation they were subjected to by the Nazis is an experience unique to them as a people. Others might have died in larger numbers, like eight million Soviets during that same war, and tens of millions to the bubonic plague, but the Jewish experience still stands out. And it is not that far back in time. And the anti-semitism has not entirely disappeared. It is there in Europe. I have personally seen it in the US South. It is there in New York. Their wounds must be raw.

Israel does have a right to exist.

But what is happening now can not be understood in terms of the Holocaust. The Arabs are a poor, resourceless people for the most part.

Germany and Japan come to mind. Both were invaded and democracy was installed by the invading power. Is that what America is trying to do in Iraq? Is that what Israel will attempt in Lebanon? Are we seeing early stages of nation building? Lebanon has already lost billions in infrastructure damage. Will Isreal make the repairs after the dust settles down? How long before the dust settles down?

I have long argued the only way to conclude the Long War is to ensure a total spread of democracy in the Arab world. How do you do that? Like in Germany and Japan?

Lamont: The Iraq War Ferment In The Democratic Party
Right Wingers In Power In Israel And America
The Israeli Offensive

The right wingers in power are going the Germany, Japan routes, only they are not being as successful. There has to be a better way.

The First Major Revolution Of The 21st Century Happened In Nepal

In The News

US and French narrow gap on Lebanon ceasefire Reuters
Lebanon crisis: US, France talks on UN resolution fail NDTV.com
France, US at odds over Lebanon draft Indian Express
France, US divided over Lebanon resolution: Chirac Hindustan Times
Lebanon hospitals cut off, running out of supplies
Boston Globe, United States
Lebanon hospitals running out of supplies ABC News
UN Rips Lack of Aid Access in Lebanon Washington Post
Nasrallah vows to turn Lebanon into Jewish graveyard The Australian
Lebanon: Soldier killed by anti-tank missile
Ynetnews, Israel
One soldier killed, two wounded in s. Lebanon Jerusalem Post
IDF casualties in Lebanon Ynetnews
15 IDF soldiers killed Wednesday, IDF reveals Jerusalem Post
Walker`s World: Flawed Lebanon consensus
Monsters and Critics.com, UK
Israeli tanks thrust into Lebanon The Australian
Lebanon civilian toll hits 1000 The Australian
Israel to Put Lebanon Offensive on Hold ABC News
France sees deal on UN Lebanon resolution soon
Reuters
Editorials: Filipino workers in Lebanon
Sun.Star, Philippines
Lebanon relief effort hampered by fears
San Jose Mercury News, USA
LEBANON: LEBANON: Hear Our Voices - Displaced twice take shelter ...
Reuters AlertNet, UK
Hizbollah fights Israeli push into Lebanon
Reuters
Many Pinoys wanted to stay in Lebanon: official
Sun.Star, Philippines

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Wednesday, August 09, 2006

Lamont Victory


This is remarkable. This victory really challenges the conventional wisdom. Lieberman almost became Vice President in 2000. In 2006 he has lost a primary in his state.

Iraq is on the verge of a civil war. Iraq is not how you do nation building. The offensive in Lebanon has driven home the point even further. War is not the way to go.

The anti war buildup has been coming a while, but Lamont has shown he can channel it productively and meaningfully. He has been pragmatic. He has stuck to the basics in his campaign.

Some neocons have come out saying now it will be easier for them to paint the Democrats as too liberal, and as too weak on defence. That is wishful thinking on their part. This Lamont victory will energize the Democratic base for November. Lieberman's run as an independent might actually help keep up the energy. Lieberman will lose also in the general. I hope he changes his mind, accepts defeat, and does not run again.

Lamont's job has only now begun. He has to continue with his pragmatic style. He has to give a repeat performance, and win big in the general. This is the beginning of the end of the Bush presidency. Lamont's appeal is national.

In terms of mechanics, I am very impressed with his use both of the netroots and grassroots, what I call screen time and face time. You can not bring only one of the two to the table. Need both. Lamont's victory has been stylish that way.

The blogosphere is not like the issue groups. The blogosphere will permeate through the entire political process. As broadband spreads, the internet will become more and more central as a medium.

This is a sweet victory for the DFA. Dean stands vindicated. Lamont's style was an imitation of Dean 2004.

Lamont will have to become a centrist progressive. That means expanding the agenda beyond the anti-war stuff, important as that is. That means maintaining the common sense approach to the mainstream governance issues. But good thing Lieberman is running in the general. Lamont gets to cash his anti-war shriek a little bit longer.

This is an impressive victory. The apple cart has been overturned.

Now take over the Congress in November.

Lamont: The Iraq War Ferment In The Democratic Party
Right Wingers In Power In Israel And America
Lieberman, Lamont
The Israeli Offensive

In The News


Lieberman Loses In Democratic Primary "People are going to look back and say the Bush years started to end in Connecticut"
The Unmaking of a Senator: How Bloggers Staged an Upset TIME signaled the ascendancy of a legitimate new power center in the Democratic party, the Netroots...... The much-hyped Internet activists of the Howard Dean presidential campaign, liberal blogs like Daily Kos and activist groups like MoveOn.org had generated lots of buzz, but few results at the ballot box until now........ a victory no one could have expected even four months ago. ...... Markos Moulitas of Daily Kos appeared in one of his early ads, former blogger and Internet organizer Tim Tagaris left his job at the Democratic National Committee to work on Lamont’s campaign and bloggers from the site mydd.com headed up to Connecticut over the last several days to call voters and encourage them to support Lamont. And MoveOn.org strongly supported Lamont despite pleas from Democratic leaders not to....... Lamont pour $4 million of his own money ..... Lamont's campaign manager, Tow Swan, is a veteran Connecticut political operative who helped run the strong turnout operation ...... Hillary Clinton has hired a blog outreach adviser and called for Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld's resignation, two moves that could help her win the favor of the liberal activists ..... there’s an anti-incumbent mood in Connecticut, which could spell trouble for the three House Republicans there.
Did bloggers cost Joe Lieberman an election? CNET News.com, CA Bloggers may have claimed their first victory in a high-profile election campaign....... the routine advertising, speechifying, and door-to-door salesmanship ..... Lanny Davis, a lifelong liberal and President Clinton's former lawyer, wrote this week that he was savaged by his fellow Democrats for defending Lieberman. Davis described how he experienced "the hate and vitriol of bloggers on the liberal side of the aisle" and concluded "the far right does not have a monopoly on bigotry and hatred and sanctimony." ..... war in Iraq .... 89 percent of Dems disapprove of Bush's handling of it ...... his name recognition could easily make it a serious three-way race.
Liberal McCarthyism
Joe Lieberman loses Conn. Democratic Senate primary Boston Globe, United States
Democrats plan unity meeting despite Lieberman's loss to Lamont Boston Globe, United States
A Man of Means, Pushing for Change New York Times, United States When Mr. Lamont, 52, entered the race last March, skeptics wrote him off as a dilettantish limousine liberal. .... a $30 million home in Greenwich ..... Their combined assets total in the hundreds of millions of dollars ..... Mr. Lamont’s wealth was only partly from his trust fund. Much of it was earned by his wife, and some of it came from his own entrepreneurship....... Both he and his wife have made a lot financially during their lifetimes ...... volunteered at a Bridgeport public school, teaching a course on how to start a business ......
Senior US Democrat loses senate primary race CTV.ca, Canada
In Setback, Lieberman Calls for Round 2, Despite Obstacles in His ... New York Times, United States
Suzanne Nossel: Letting Go of Joe Yahoo! News
Support for war weakened Lieberman from start USA Today
Lieberman Loses, Vows Independent Run ABC News
Lieberman loses: Ned Lamont wins Conn. primary Boston Herald, United States
Lamont Defeats Lieberman in Primary New York Times, United States
Lieberman loses Senate race in Conn. USA Today
Shock loss shows US anti-war mood BBC News, UK Washington insiders from both parties have long been muttering that George W Bush's Republican party is going to lose ground in elections in November. The only question, they say, is how much ground. Enough to lose control of one or both houses of Congress? ...... the first man in decades to beat an incumbent senator in a primary race..... "You can't run in Connecticut as Bush and Cheney's favourite Democrat." ..... Bush lost the state by a landslide in both 2000 and 2004. ...... even before the votes were tallied, centrist Democrats who shared Mr Lieberman's positions were tacking to the left to take the party's mood into account. ....... Top Republican strategists may take short-term delight in Mr Lieberman's humiliation, hoping it will enable them to continue portraying the Democrats as weak on defence. ..... as long as Bush and the war remain unpopular, then this will not be a problem for the Democrats in 2006
Lieberman Concedes Connecticut Primary to Lamont Washington Post, United States
Connecticut Democrats oust Lieberman MarketWatch
Lamont Relied On Net Roots -- And Grass Roots Washington Post, United States Almost no one saw it coming. Six months ago, Ned Lamont's name recognition was, within the margin of error, zero. ...... stuck to a simple message ...... blending both new- and old-style politics. He tapped the Net roots to promote his cause -- but the grass roots to win over voters. ....... Lamont's campaign soon came to resemble Howard Dean's bid for the Democratic presidential nomination two years ago. ..... As the hype grew, the campaign stuck to the basics. ..... went from town to town, house to house, for months ...... One early move was to launch a primitive Web page seeking 1,000 volunteers in all 169 of the state's municipalities ....... They began a voter-history project to track down people who voted in every obscure local primary and referendum -- information that was not available in statewide rolls....... campaign relied heavily on "house parties," or small neighborhood gatherings ....... Organizers used the events to build their lists of likely voters and add to the volunteer ranks. Eventually, the campaign put the whole system online....... "Their voting techniques are on the cutting edge of politics" .....
Lamont Beats Lieberman in Conn. Primary Salon
Lieberman Concedes Primary Race, Will Run as Independent Los Angeles Times, CA
War in Iraq could be key issue in race for US presidency Irish Independent, Ireland
Lieberman Loses Connecticut Primary Bid Washington Post, United States
Connecticut Democratic Voters Reject Lieberman After 18 Years Voice of America
Lamont Beats Lieberman in Conn. Primary ABC News
Lieberman loses tough battle over war ABC News
Lieberman Concedes Defeat in Connecticut's Democratic Primary Bloomberg
Top Democrat trails in vote count BBC News, UK
Lieberman trails in tight battle ABC News

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