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Showing posts with label World War III. Show all posts
Showing posts with label World War III. Show all posts

Saturday, July 05, 2025

Martial Law In The US: The Possibilities



The U.S. Constitution does not explicitly mention martial law, but certain provisions provide a legal foundation for its potential use under extraordinary circumstances. Notably, the Suspension Clause (Article I, Section 9, Clause 2) allows Congress to suspend the writ of habeas corpus “when in Cases of Rebellion or Invasion the public Safety may require it.” Combined with the President’s powers as Commander-in-Chief (Article II, Section 2), this forms the constitutional basis for declaring martial law in times of extreme crisis, typically involving severe threats to public safety or national security.

Martial law refers to the replacement or override of civilian authority by military control, often involving the suspension of certain civil liberties such as freedom of movement, speech, and protection against unlawful detention.

Historical Precedents of Martial Law in the United States:

  • War of 1812: General Andrew Jackson imposed martial law in New Orleans in 1814 to defend against the British. He suspended habeas corpus, censored newspapers, and detained civilians under military authority.

  • Civil War: President Abraham Lincoln suspended habeas corpus in select regions to combat Confederate rebellion, particularly in border states. This led to the landmark Supreme Court case Ex parte Milligan (1866), which ruled that martial law cannot be imposed where civilian courts are open and operational.

  • World War II – Hawaii: After the Pearl Harbor attack in 1941, martial law was declared in the Territory of Hawaii, replacing civilian courts with military tribunals. It remained in effect until 1944, sparking later legal scrutiny and criticism for civil rights violations.

  • Localized Events: Martial law has occasionally been declared at the state or city level in response to natural disasters, labor unrest, or riots—such as in San Francisco after the 1906 earthquake, or during the 1934 West Coast waterfront strike.

Martial Law in a Hypothetical World War III Scenario:

In the event of World War III, particularly if the U.S. homeland were directly attacked or if key civilian infrastructure were incapacitated, martial law could be declared as a last resort. The President, acting under emergency powers or with congressional authorization, could impose martial law to restore order or defend national security.

The Insurrection Act of 1807 grants the President the authority to deploy military forces domestically to suppress insurrections, enforce federal law, or quell civil unrest. While not the same as martial law, its use can resemble it in practice, especially if civilian governance is temporarily displaced by military oversight.

Although courts have historically granted broad leeway to the executive during national emergencies, such as wartime, they have also emphasized the restoration of constitutional norms afterward. Ex parte Milligan, for example, reaffirmed the supremacy of civilian law when the immediate threat had passed.

Martial Law and the Possibility of a Third Presidential Term:

If a sitting president were to openly discuss seeking an unconstitutional third term, the invocation of martial law during wartime would raise serious constitutional and democratic concerns. The 22nd Amendment clearly limits U.S. presidents to two elected terms. Circumventing this limit would require:

  • A constitutional amendment (an arduous and time-consuming process requiring supermajority support), or

  • A constitutional crisis, potentially involving executive overreach, civil unrest, or national emergency.

A president attempting to exploit a war or emergency to extend their hold on power would likely face multiple institutional checks:

  • Congress: Holds power over funding, oversight, and the regulation of emergency powers. It can legislate to rein in executive excesses or initiate impeachment if necessary.

  • Courts: The judiciary, as in Youngstown Sheet & Tube Co. v. Sawyer (1952), has struck down unconstitutional uses of executive power, affirming that the president cannot act unilaterally in defiance of the law.

  • The Military and State Governments: The U.S. military is bound by an oath to the Constitution, not to any individual leader. A president attempting to use the military for unconstitutional purposes would likely meet institutional resistance. Governors, legislatures, and law enforcement across states would also play a role in defending constitutional order.

  • Public Resistance: Widespread public opposition, media scrutiny, mass protests, and civil society pushback would severely undermine any attempt to use martial law for authoritarian ends.

Could a President Provoke War to Justify Martial Law?

While theoretically possible, the idea that a president might intentionally provoke war to justify martial law and remain in office is highly speculative and deeply troubling. More importantly, it is politically, legally, and strategically impractical for several reasons:

  • War carries catastrophic consequences—including massive loss of life, economic collapse, and global instability.

  • Domestic backlash would be swift and severe, including likely congressional investigations, judicial injunctions, and public revolt.

  • International condemnation and loss of alliances would further isolate the administration and damage U.S. global standing.

  • The gamble would likely fail: Even if martial law were imposed, maintaining power beyond two terms would face insurmountable legal hurdles and risk tearing apart the democratic fabric of the nation.

Conclusion:

Martial law in the U.S. is a tool of last resort, meant only for truly existential threats such as invasion, civil war, or large-scale collapse of civil authority. While past uses have been limited and often controversial, constitutional safeguards, judicial precedent, and the resilience of American civil institutions serve as strong bulwarks against abuse.

The notion of using war or martial law as a path to a third presidential term, while hypothetically possible in a legal vacuum, is constitutionally indefensible, politically toxic, and logistically unworkable. The checks and balances built into the U.S. system, along with the vigilance of its people, remain the best defense against any attempt to subvert democratic norms—even in wartime.





Impact of 2026 Midterm Losses on 2028 and Beyond

If major inflation—triggered by trade disruptions from tariff wars—and an unpopular piece of legislation (mockingly dubbed the “Big, Beautiful Bill”) lead to a significant drop in the president’s approval ratings, the 2026 midterms could result in Democrats regaining control of both the House and Senate. Such a shift would dramatically alter the political landscape:

  • Legislative Gridlock: A Democratic Congress would likely obstruct the president’s agenda, refusing to pass key initiatives. If inflation and economic strain continue, public frustration could deepen, further damaging the governing party’s image heading into 2028.

  • 2028 Presidential Election: The president’s party would enter the race at a disadvantage. With the incumbent term-limited by the 22nd Amendment, a new Republican nominee would face the challenge of distancing themselves from a damaged brand. Meanwhile, a Democratic Congress could intensify investigations, issue subpoenas, or even initiate impeachment proceedings (if warranted), further undermining the administration’s influence. The political momentum could clearly swing toward Democrats in the presidential contest.

  • Long-Term Effects: If Democrats maintain congressional control beyond 2028, they could implement major legislative reforms—on taxation, climate policy, healthcare, or voting rights. However, if they fail to manage inflation or economic discontent, the door could open for a populist Republican resurgence by 2030. Voter backlash, especially if perceived economic relief is lacking, remains a persistent risk.


The Third-Term Question and a Democratic Congress

A third presidential term for a Republican president would be constitutionally prohibited by the 22nd Amendment, which clearly limits U.S. presidents to two elected terms. Any effort to overturn or circumvent this limit would require a constitutional amendment—a process demanding a two-thirds majority in both houses of Congress and ratification by three-fourths of state legislatures. Given current partisan divides, this is politically and procedurally implausible.

If Democrats regain control of Congress in 2026, they would:

  • Firmly Reject Any Third-Term Attempts: Any proposal—whether legislative, rhetorical, or symbolic—aimed at extending a president’s time in office would be dead on arrival. Democrats would frame such moves as authoritarian and use them to galvanize their base.

  • Increase Oversight and Legal Action: Expect congressional investigations into executive overreach and aggressive legal challenges to any attempt to manipulate constitutional norms. This could include litigation in federal courts, appeals to the Supreme Court, and state-level resistance.

  • Dominate the Narrative: Democrats would likely seize the media narrative, emphasizing the sanctity of term limits and painting the president’s maneuvering as a threat to American democracy. Public opinion could quickly turn hostile to any third-term ambitions.

Even with unified Republican control of Congress, removing the 22nd Amendment would remain nearly impossible without overwhelming bipartisan support—something exceedingly unlikely in today’s polarized political environment. A Democratic Congress makes the idea categorically unviable.


Martial Law in This Political Context

Martial law—the imposition of direct military control over normal civilian functions—requires extraordinary justification, such as invasion, rebellion, or complete societal collapse. It has never been used to extend presidential terms or cancel elections.

In this context:

  • Democratic Resistance: A Democrat-controlled Congress would oppose any move toward martial law unless tied to a clear, nationally recognized emergency. If used pretextually (e.g., to postpone elections or suppress dissent), the opposition response would be swift and intense.

  • Congressional Power of the Purse: Congress could cut off funding to the Department of Defense or limit the use of federal troops in domestic operations through legislation such as the Posse Comitatus Act or budgetary restrictions.

  • Judicial Oversight: The courts, particularly the Supreme Court, have historically pushed back against unjustified uses of martial law. In Ex parte Milligan (1866), the Court ruled that martial law cannot override civilian courts where they are functioning. Any extended use of martial law to suspend democratic processes would almost certainly be ruled unconstitutional.

  • Institutional and Public Backlash: Prolonged or unjustified martial law would prompt widespread institutional resistance—from state governments, military leadership, civil society, and the media. Protests and legal challenges would likely erupt across the country.

In theory, martial law might delay elections temporarily in extreme emergencies. But using it to extend a presidency would encounter massive legal, political, and societal resistance. The U.S. system is designed to ensure constitutional continuity, and a Democratic Congress would act as a firewall against abuse.


U.S. Elections During Wartime: A Historical Pattern of Continuity

The United States has a strong tradition of holding elections during wartime, reaffirming its commitment to democracy even under duress:

  • Civil War (1864): Amidst a brutal and ongoing conflict, President Abraham Lincoln insisted on holding national elections. Union soldiers voted from the front lines, and Lincoln was re-elected despite pressure to suspend the vote.

  • World War I (1918): Despite a global conflict, the U.S. held midterm elections, which resulted in Republicans taking control of Congress.

  • World War II (1944): Elections were held on schedule. President Franklin D. Roosevelt was re-elected to a fourth term, but not through any manipulation of the process.

These precedents reinforce that war is not a valid excuse to suspend elections, and martial law has never been used to cancel a national vote. Any such attempt would contradict both historical precedent and constitutional principle.


Conclusion

If the president’s unpopularity in 2026 results in a Democratic takeover of Congress, the administration would face a legislative blockade, and efforts to extend power—such as seeking a third term or imposing martial law—would encounter near-insurmountable barriers. The U.S. Constitution, the courts, Congress, and the public provide layered safeguards against authoritarian drift.

While crises can challenge democratic systems, the American system has proven resilient. A Democratic Congress in this scenario would act as both a check and a rallying point for the defense of democratic norms and the constitutional order.



 




Could World War III Prevent U.S. Elections?

A scenario in which World War III prevents the United States from holding elections would require an unprecedented level of national disruption—far exceeding the challenges of the Civil War, World Wars I and II, or 9/11. Historically, the U.S. has maintained electoral continuity through war, depression, and disaster. Therefore, the bar to cancel or indefinitely postpone national elections is extraordinarily high.

Still, in a worst-case scenario, the combination of advanced warfare, cyberattacks, and societal collapse could theoretically make holding elections impossible. Below is a breakdown of what such a scenario might entail.


Worst-Case Scenario to Prevent U.S. Elections

  1. Massive Physical Destruction of Infrastructure

    • Direct Attacks on U.S. Soil: Sustained strikes on major population centers—using nuclear weapons, hypersonic missiles, or electromagnetic pulse (EMP) attacks—could destroy power grids, transportation, communication systems, and election equipment.

    • Impact: Without functioning polling stations, voter registration systems, or ballot tabulation infrastructure, it may become physically impossible to conduct elections in multiple states. If cities like New York, Los Angeles, Chicago, and Washington D.C. are rendered uninhabitable or unreachable, national election logistics could collapse.

  2. Crippling Cyberattacks on Electoral Systems

    • Digital Paralysis: A state-sponsored cyberattack could wipe out or corrupt voter databases, election management systems, and result certification platforms. If these attacks are combined with disinformation campaigns and data loss, public trust in the legitimacy of the election could collapse.

    • Impact: Even with paper backups, the inability to verify voter eligibility or transmit results could render elections unmanageable or untrustworthy, particularly in contested battleground states.

  3. Martial Law and Civil Collapse

    • National Emergency: If external attacks (e.g., biological or chemical weapons) trigger internal unrest—mass protests, looting, civil war-like conditions—martial law could be declared to restore order.

    • Impact: Prolonged military control could suspend civil functions, including elections, especially if state governments break down, election workers cannot safely operate, or displaced populations cannot vote.

  4. Mass Population Displacement or Casualties

    • Refugee Crisis or Large-Scale Deaths: Nuclear or chemical attacks could kill or displace tens of millions. If large swaths of the population flee cities or reside in refugee zones, maintaining voter rolls, issuing ballots, and ensuring access to polling becomes infeasible.

    • Impact: If tens of millions of eligible voters are incapacitated, displaced, or unreachable, national elections could be deemed unrepresentative or invalid.

  5. Collapse of Federal and State Authority

    • Targeted Decapitation of Governance: Simultaneous attacks on Washington, D.C., key military installations, and state capitals could paralyze all three branches of government. If Congress, the Supreme Court, and the Federal Election Commission are incapacitated, there may be no legal or logistical authority to run elections.

    • Impact: Without a functioning federal structure, there would be no mechanism to qualify candidates, coordinate ballots, or validate outcomes.


Legal Threshold for Suspending Elections

U.S. elections are legally and constitutionally protected:

  • Presidential elections are mandated by Article II, Section 1 of the Constitution, with Congress setting the date (2 U.S.C. § 7) as the first Tuesday after the first Monday in November every four years.

  • Postponing or canceling elections would require either:

    • A constitutional amendment,

    • Invocation of emergency powers so extraordinary that normal legal processes are inoperative, or

    • Total collapse of civil governance, making legal compliance impossible.

Even localized disasters (e.g., hurricanes, earthquakes, terrorist attacks) have never halted national elections. Thus, only sustained, nationwide disruption would meet the threshold for suspension.


Near-Future Considerations (2028 and Beyond)

By 2028, several emerging technologies and vulnerabilities increase the risk that elections could be disrupted:

  • AI-Driven Cyber Warfare: Machine-generated attacks could simultaneously compromise voter databases, social media narratives, and government infrastructure.

  • Hypersonic and Directed-Energy Weapons: These could deliver rapid and precise destruction of election hubs before defense systems can respond.

  • Economic and Climate Stress: Pre-existing economic fragility (e.g., tariff-induced inflation, debt crises) and climate-driven disasters could reduce national resilience, compounding the chaos of war.

That said, the U.S. has several layers of resilience:

  • Decentralized Electoral System: Each state runs its own elections, making nationwide sabotage harder.

  • Paper Ballots and Redundancy: Many states have paper backups, manual recount protocols, and chain-of-custody procedures.

  • Continuity of Government Plans: The U.S. military and executive branch maintain contingency operations to preserve leadership during crises.

  • Public Expectation: Americans have historically insisted on democratic continuity. Voter turnout during war, depression, and pandemics has often remained high.


Would Martial Law Enable a Third Term?

Even in a wartime emergency, martial law would not automatically permit a third presidential term:

  • The 22nd Amendment clearly prohibits any person from being elected president more than twice.

  • A national emergency does not nullify the Constitution. Even under martial law, legal structures—courts, Congress, and state legislatures—continue to exist unless obliterated.

  • A Democratic Congress (per the 2026 midterm loss scenario) would actively oppose any third-term ambitions, launching investigations, legislation, or even impeachment proceedings if necessary.

  • The military, sworn to uphold the Constitution, is unlikely to support unconstitutional extensions of power—especially in the absence of full-scale national collapse.

Any president attempting to exploit a global conflict to extend their term would likely face severe legal, political, and public opposition. Provoking war for personal power would be reckless, morally abhorrent, and politically suicidal.


How Bad Would It Have to Be?

For elections to be canceled or rendered impossible, all the following conditions would likely need to occur:

  • Physical Devastation: Nationwide destruction of polling stations, power grids, servers, and election offices.

  • Loss of Voter Base: Tens of millions dead, displaced, or unable to access voting mechanisms.

  • Collapse of Governance: Federal and state governments unable to coordinate or certify an election.

  • No Recovery Window: Crisis persists from months leading up to the election through the November voting deadline.

This implies a near-apocalyptic scenario: full-scale nuclear war, global cyberwarfare, or a combination of WMDs and EMPs causing sustained, unrecoverable societal collapse.


Conclusion

While a World War III scenario could theoretically prevent U.S. elections, it would require devastation on a scale never experienced in American history. Even then, constitutional protections, state-run electoral systems, military continuity plans, and public commitment to democracy would act as powerful safeguards.

The United States has held elections through civil war, global war, economic depression, and pandemic. Any attempt to suspend or manipulate elections for personal power would face immense resistance unless the entire constitutional order collapses—an outcome that remains extremely unlikely given America's layered resilience.



 



Could a Scriptural “Final War” in the Middle East Prevent U.S. Elections?

Our question references religious prophecies about a final war, likely drawing from apocalyptic scriptures such as the Bible and Islamic eschatology, particularly in relation to a conflict centered in the Middle East. This also ties into your prior concerns about how such a war might disrupt U.S. elections or be exploited for unconstitutional power grabs, such as a third presidential term.

This response will address the scriptural basis for a final war, explore whether a modern conflict in the Middle East could realistically prevent U.S. elections, and examine the legal and political consequences if such a scenario were used to justify martial law or term extension.


Scriptural References to a Final War in the Middle East

Many religious traditions contain end-times prophecies that describe a climactic battle, often situated in or around the Middle East. These visions vary widely in interpretation, but several commonly cited sources include:

  • Christian Eschatology:

    • Revelation 16:16: Refers to the battle of Armageddon, named after Har Megiddo, a real location in northern Israel. It is depicted as the final battle between the forces of good and evil, involving global powers but centered in the Holy Land.

    • Ezekiel 38–39: Describes a war led by Gog of Magog against Israel, often interpreted as a coalition including Persia (modern Iran), Turkey, and others. Some interpret this as a prophecy of a massive future war.

    • Daniel 11: Outlines complex geopolitical conflicts between the “King of the North” and “King of the South,” interpreted by some as symbolic of modern-day regional or global powers.

  • Islamic Eschatology:

    • Certain Hadith traditions describe a final battle involving the Mahdi and Dajjal (the Islamic Antichrist), unfolding in regions like Syria, Iraq, and Jerusalem.

    • Some interpretations parallel Christian narratives, emphasizing global conflict and divine intervention.

  • Jewish Eschatology:

    • Jewish messianic thought often anticipates a period of conflict preceding the Messianic Age, though details about a singular “final war” are more ambiguous compared to Christian or Islamic texts.

Note: Interpretations vary widely. Many scholars and religious leaders consider these prophecies to be symbolic, allegorical, or already fulfilled in past historical events (e.g., Roman conquests, Crusades). Others believe they refer to literal future events that may align with geopolitical developments in the Middle East.


Could a Middle East War Prevent U.S. Elections?

For a conflict localized to the Middle East to prevent U.S. elections, it would need to escalate into a full-scale global crisis directly affecting U.S. infrastructure, governance, and public safety. Here's how this might theoretically unfold—and why it's highly unlikely to meet the extreme conditions required.

Escalation Scenarios

  1. Globalization of the Conflict

    • A war involving Israel, Iran, Hezbollah, or other actors could draw in the United States and possibly other powers such as Russia or China. Escalation might occur via:

      • Iranian attacks on U.S. bases or shipping routes.

      • U.S. intervention in defense of Israel.

      • Russian or Chinese military responses, particularly if they are treaty-bound or ideologically aligned.

    • Impact: Even if the U.S. becomes heavily involved, past wars (e.g., Iraq, Afghanistan) show that overseas conflicts rarely disrupt U.S. elections unless they reach the homeland.

  2. Disruption of Global Resources

    • The Persian Gulf and Strait of Hormuz are critical for global oil supply. A regional war could trigger global oil shocks, worsen inflation, and disrupt economies.

    • Impact: Economic strain could affect domestic politics and public mood, but would not disable voting systems.

  3. Cyber or Asymmetric Attacks

    • State or non-state actors could launch cyberattacks against U.S. election infrastructure, power grids, or internet backbones.

    • Impact: Cyber disruptions could hinder election logistics but would need to be sustained, nationwide, and coordinated. Even in 2016, with Russian interference, elections proceeded.

  4. Nuclear or WMD Use

    • A catastrophic scenario might involve the use of nuclear weapons, particularly by or against Iran or Israel.

    • Impact: Fallout and economic disruption would be global. But unless the U.S. itself is attacked (e.g., via ICBMs or smuggled WMDs), elections would likely continue.

  5. Domestic Fallout

    • A Middle East war could inflame tensions at home, such as protests, anti-Muslim or anti-Semitic violence, or terrorist retaliation.

    • Impact: Widespread unrest would be destabilizing, but historical precedent (e.g., Vietnam War protests, post-9/11 period) shows elections still proceed during domestic strife.


Why a Middle East War Is Unlikely to Halt U.S. Elections

  • Geographic Distance: The U.S. is thousands of miles from most Middle Eastern theaters. Military bases might be targeted, but the homeland is shielded from direct conflict unless global powers escalate.

  • Historical Resilience: U.S. elections were held during:

    • The Civil War (1864).

    • World War I (1918).

    • World War II (1944).

    • Even post-9/11 elections continued without disruption.

  • Decentralized Election Systems: Each of the 50 states administers its own elections. To halt a presidential election, adversaries would need to cripple election infrastructure in all 50 states simultaneously—logistically improbable.

  • Emergency Protocols: The U.S. has adapted elections to crises before, using mail-in ballots, extended early voting, and contingency planning to ensure elections happen.


Threshold to Disrupt U.S. Elections

Preventing an election would require apocalyptic conditions, including:

  • Widespread physical destruction of polling stations, networks, and databases.

  • Mass casualties or displacement, affecting tens of millions.

  • Total breakdown of federal and state authority to the point where no entity can certify or organize an election.

  • Prolonged crisis with no pathway to recovery before a constitutionally mandated election date (e.g., November 2028).

A Middle East war—however severe—would need to escalate into full-scale global warfare involving nuclear exchange, cyber-induced collapse, and massive domestic unrest to meet these criteria.


Third-Term and Martial Law in This Context

As raised in your previous questions, would a U.S. president use such a war to pursue a third term or impose martial law?

  • Martial Law:

    • Martial law can be declared under extreme conditions (e.g., invasion, rebellion, government collapse).

    • A regional Middle East war—unless it results in direct attacks on U.S. soil—is unlikely to justify such a step.

    • Congress and courts, especially a Democratic-controlled Congress, would resist or investigate any unjustified imposition of martial law.

  • Third Term:

    • The 22nd Amendment prohibits more than two presidential terms.

    • War or martial law does not override constitutional limits.

    • A third term would require a constitutional amendment, needing two-thirds of Congress and ratification by three-fourths of states—a political impossibility given current divides.

    • Any attempt to extend presidential power would likely be met with court challenges, media outcry, and possibly mass protests.

  • Incentive to Provoke War?

    • Using war to extend power would be a high-risk, low-reward gamble.

    • The U.S. system has too many institutional checks—courts, Congress, military leadership, states, and civil society—to allow such a power grab without total collapse of constitutional governance.


Scriptural Prophecy vs. Political Reality

  • While religious scriptures may speak of Armageddon, Gog and Magog, or the Mahdi, most scholars caution against linking these prophecies directly to modern political events.

  • Prophecies are often symbolic, open to interpretation, and not bound to literal timelines or geographies.

  • A war that appears to align with prophecy may stir public fear or religious commentary, but that doesn’t guarantee it will fulfill specific predictions—or impact U.S. democracy in concrete terms.


Conclusion

A “final war” in the Middle East, as described in scripture, may trigger significant global disruption, but preventing U.S. elections would require far more: nationwide devastation, government collapse, or total system failure. These thresholds have never been met, even during world wars.

The decentralized nature of the U.S. electoral system, legal constraints on presidential terms, and the robust history of electoral resilience make election cancellation highly improbable—even under extreme global stress.

Attempts to exploit such a war for unconstitutional power extension would face fierce legal, political, and institutional resistance, especially under a Congress controlled by the opposition.

Bottom line: Scripture may inspire symbolic interpretations of war, but U.S. elections depend on real-world infrastructure, law, and governance. Until those collapse, democracy remains operative.




Thursday, July 04, 2024

युग परिवर्तन के लिए विश्व युद्ध का होना जरूरी नहीं



युग परिवर्तन के लिए विश्व युद्ध का होना जरूरी नहीं
जुलाई ४, २०२४

विश्व में टेंशन उच्च स्तर पर है। और बढ़ती ही चली जा रही है। इस अवस्था में कोइ छोटा खिलाडी ही कोइ हरकत कर दे तो बात बहुत जल्द बहुत बिगड़ जाएगी। इजराइल में कुछ वैसा ही हुवा। कुछ बिद्वान लोग तो कह रहे हैं कि विश्व युद्ध शुरू हो चुका है। द्वितीय विश्व युद्ध भी तो ऐसे ही शुरू हुवा था। वो तो ख़त्म होने के बाद लोगो ने कहा शुरू कब हुवा। लेकिन जब शुरू हुवा तभी तो लोगो को नहीं लगा कि ये विश्व युद्ध है।

ये युद्ध अनावश्यक है। लेकिन रावण और दुर्योधन को कौन समझाए? १०-१५ रावण एक दुसरे से युद्ध करने को उतावले हैं।

दुनिया के बड़े बड़े देश एक दुसरे को कुछ ही घंटो में पाषाण युग (Stone Age) में धकेल देने की ताकत रखते हैं। ऐसे ऐसे हतियार रखे हुवे हैं कि अगर युद्ध हुवा तो कोइ जितेगा नहीं। फिर भी टेंशन घटाने के जगह बढ़ाने पर उतावले हैं।

रूस और अमरिका एक दुसरे के राजधानी के निकटतम जगहों पर आणविक अस्त्र इकठ्ठा कर लिए हैं लेकिन बातचीत तक नहीं हो रही। ऐसी नौबत आ सकती है कि सिर्फ एक दुसरे को डराने के बजाए फर्स्ट स्ट्राइक की सोंच बन जाए किसी एक तरफ। मरता क्या न करता वाली नौबत आ सकती है।

लेकिन जो देश इन देशों में से नहीं हैं वे भी तो बेफिक्र नजर आ रहे हैं। युक्रेन युद्ध शुरू हुवा तो सारी दुनिया को असर पड़ी। गेहुँ का भाव आसमान छुने लगा बहुत देशों में। गेहुँ की बात छोड़िए। अगर बात बिगड़ी तो गेहुँ के जगह पानी का भाव आसमान छुने लगेगा। और वो बात अफ्रिका में नहीं अमरिका में हो सकती है।

युद्ध अगर न भी हो तो ग्लोबल वार्मिंग जिसके लिए अमरिका, युरोप, जापान और चीन जिम्मेदार हैं उसके कारण हिमालय पर्वत के ढेर सारे हिमनदी पिगल कर दक्षिण एशिया में पानी के लिए हाहाकार हो सकती है। और ये दुर भविष्य की बात नहीं। प्रत्येक साल गर्मीं में तापमान के रेकॉर्ड ब्रेक हो रहे हैं।

कोरोना महामारी में न्यु यॉर्क से लोग भागे थे और दशों मील, पचासों मील दुर जहाँ जहाँ कोइ किराए का जगह मिला सब ले लिए थे। लेकिन एक वैसी अवस्था की कल्पना किजिए जब रूस और अमरिका आमने सामने हो गए हो तो रूस का प्रथम प्रयास रहेगा मैनहट्टन पर आणविक आक्रमण। क्योंकि उसका उद्देश्य होगा देश को प्यारलाइज़ करने का सबसे आसान तरिका। उस अवस्था में लोग भागेंगे तो फिर किराए का घर नहीं तलाश करेंगे। लॉ एंड आर्डर बिलकुल ब्रेकडाउन हो चुकी होगी। जबरजस्ती घरों में घुसेंगे। जो बचे वो।

युक्रेन युद्ध शुरू होने के कुछ ही महिनों बाद न्यु यॉर्क शहर में आणविक आक्रमण हो गया तो क्या करे कह के महानगर की स्थानीय सरकार टीवी पर बिज्ञापन देने लग गयी थी। यानि की उस संभावना की बात मैं नहीं कर रहा। पिछले साल ही न्यु यॉर्क की स्थानीय सरकार कर चुकी थी।

भारत एक उभरता हुवा शक्ति राष्ट्र है। तटस्थ है। लेकिन सक्रिय तो भारत भी नहीं। अभी जो जगह व्हाइट हाउस का है पाँच हजार साल पहले धृतराष्ट्र का दरबार वही हुवा करता था। विश्व का शक्ति केंद्र। स्पष्ट संकेत है जिस तरह जापान में सुर्योदय से सुर्यास्त और फिर सुर्योदय होती है उसी तरह दिल्ली फिर विश्व की शक्ति केन्द्र बनने जा रही। युग परिवर्तन होगी। सत्य युग फिर से शुरुवात होनी है। कुछ ही दशक की बात है। वो नयी सत्य युग सारे विश्व के लिए होगी।

उस सत्य युग तक पहुँचने का सबसे अच्छा रास्ता है बगैर युद्ध का। संवाद का रास्ता। आमने सामने बैठ के विचारविमर्श करने का रास्ता। लेकिन संवादहीनता सिर्फ युक्रेन युद्ध को लेकर नहीं। संवादहीनता सिर्फ गाज़ा युद्ध को लेकर नहीं। भारतवर्ष भी तो उसी संवादहीनता की स्थिति में है। भगवान कल्कि को लेकर। भगवान राम की मंदिर तो बना लेते है। और बननी चाहिए। अच्छी बात है। भगवान राम सिर्फ भारत के नहीं, समस्त पृथ्वी के हैं, सारे ब्रह्माण्ड के मालिक हैं। लेकिन भगवान कल्कि धरती पर हैं, आ चुके हैं, उस बात की परवाह नहीं। जो युद्ध के लिए व्यग्र हैं वे भी और जो तटस्थ बैठे हैं वे भी, दोनों विश्व युद्ध का मार्ग ही तो प्रशस्त कर रहे हैं।



Monday, April 08, 2024

He Is Here

That who you long for
Is here
That who you pray for
Is here
The path forward is not war
Because He is here

And yet the scriptures talk of war
The birth pangs of a new age
Seems to go through war

That is what happened
The last two times
One age ended
And another began
There was war

Despite all divine attempts
To avert war
There was war
Despite the pleadings
And concessions
And persuasions
There was war

For such is the dance of
Free will
You have to choose
You have to decide
You have to own
Your decisions

The path to peace is here
The path to a new age is a book
Out in the open
Open to debates and discussions
Votes and resolutions
And peaceful political action
And yet the world marches towards war

Monday, October 18, 2010

The Tea Party Is Getting America Talibanized

MLK: In the end, we will remember not the words of our enemies, but the silence of our friends.
If your economic anxiety makes you have racist thoughts, guess what infant mortality makes me want to do. I should be having World War III thoughts. But I have been learning positivity from Barack Obama. He is a special person. America is not my country, but Barack is my president.

If your newly minted millionaire leader Sarah Palin wants her guns "reloaded," I am not going to beat around the bush. I got done doing that in 2008. I am going to think she is talking not about lower taxes, or smaller government, I am going to think she is having violent thoughts. That is the Taliban way.

A presidential election guarantees you a president, it does not guarantee you a great president. Democracy has its limitations. About once or twice in a century, someone like Barack Obama shows up and you get to vote for him. You get lucky.

The Palin way is the way for America to lose its number one status in the world. After the Roman Empire collapsed, Europe again became a society of hunters and gatherers. A Palin who urges you to "reload" wants you to more than lose your number one status. She wants you to go back to hunting and gathering.

Citizenship gives you rights, but it also gives you responsibilities.

America is in crisis. America is at crossroads. From here America could go to never before seen heights, and emerge a stronger, healthier, richer country than ever before. Or it could pull a Japan and become a has been country. America could become yesterday's power fast.

The crisis was not of Barack's making. It was the making of the people who have not yet changed the policies that brought the crisis in the first place. They never said sorry. This thing could still get much worse. The hole could go much deeper. Unemployment could go to 29% from 9%. It is still very much possible. When that happens to
Official presidential portrait of Barack Obama...Image via Wikipediaa society, suicide rates go up. Palin's "reloaded" is going to have a whole new meaning then.

Deep in my heart I believe this crisis is a direct parallel to the crisis FDR faced. But by the time FDR was done, America emerged stronger than ever before. America has huge advantages over its nearest competitor China. Those advantages are democracy and diversity. But those who say "reloaded" do not believe in democracy. Those who talk racist talk do not believe in diversity. Minus those two advantages China w-i-l-l have a shot.

Yes, we Obama people took this country. We did that in 2008. We did that through house parties, not gun rallies. You have a right to organize. But gun talk is Taliban talk. Violence is not the democratic way.

I believe this country could go to new heights of greatness if it handles this crisis well. And this country is lucky to have a global president like Barack Obama. Barack Obama is the most global president America ever had. This guy exhibits at least three different continents in his persona. After his eight years are up, it might be a long time before America sees a global president like him again. America is lucky to have him in the White House. Because the biggest challenges America faces today all have global dimensions. Some people try to teach themselves global world views. This guy was born with those global instincts. They are his reflexes. And so America is lucky.

The Palins of the world should be punished for saying the stimulus bill should never have been passed. Minus the stimulus bill America would have been at a 20-30% unemployment rate right now. If you think 9% is bad, imagine that. If I were America I would go ahead and cancel one of her book contracts. Ask her how much for a gallon of milk.

The stimulus bill was not perfect. The health care reform bill was not perfect. The Wall Street reform bill was not perfect. Barack Obama himself is not perfect. He owned up to it before you ever voted for him.

But the choice is not between perfection and whatever. You put 10 Obama people in a room and they are not going to be able to agree on a perfect health care reform bill. You put 100 Ralph Nader people in a room and they are not going to be able to agree on a perfect Wall Street reform bill. You put 1,000 Sarah Palin people and they are not going to be able to agree on a perfect tax bill.

That is what democracy is all about. There are tens of millions of voters in this country. The political process tries its best to balance the interests, and wishes of all of them. One person's tax cut is another person's many many children left behind. How do you strike out balances? How do you get things done?

When Sarah Palin talks about tax cuts for the super rich, I end up thinking she wants to eat children for breakfast. Not even the Taliban eats children for breakfast. What do we have here?

In many ways supporting Barack Obama on the campaign trail in 2007 and 2008 was much easier than it has been to support him once he got in to office. Maybe back then we did not fully comprehend what we were getting into. Power is a complex thing. On the campaign trail it was only about getting people to show up and vote.

But then the hard part begins. You get into power. And you have to sit in government. There are three branches and numerous agencies to the government. And Sarah Palin goes ahead and retires from being Governor and gets a job with Fox television. I mean, whatever happened to the idea of public service?

Being in power is more complex than being on the campaign trail. A lot of Obama 08 people this year have been acting like they miss being in the opposition. Trust me, you don't want to go back to being in the opposition. When you were in the opposition, you wondered why not even common sense things were getting done. Now you wonder why Barack Obama is not even bigger and better than he has proven to be.

This is a president who inherited a crisis that was on its way to becoming a Great Depression. He did damage control and turned that into a
This is an alternate crop of an image already ...Image via WikipediaGreat Recession as step one. The jobs will come back. The deficit will go down. The debt will stabilize. But it will not happen tomorrow.

Not only that but bigger and better things will happen. This president has been laying the framework to give America its second industrial revolution, one based on clean tech. This president has visions for high speed electric trains that crisscross the vast spans of this country.

This president did not get into the White House on his own. And he can not do his job on his own. He needs the willful participation of the people to take this country to new heights.

I can't think of one reason why the people who supported him and voted for him in 2008 should abandon him in November. If you ever thought pulling a lever for a second is all it takes to change a country, boy, were you wrong! 2008 was about making the change. 2010 is about keeping the change. Change is hard work. It takes years.

There are a whole lot of black people in America who are thinking, okay so Barack Obama is in the White House, and why am I still working this minimum wage job? I am going to sit this one out: change does not seem to be happening. Just like there are a whole bunch of women in this country who kept thinking, if only Barack had let Hillary win, or had not run himself in the first place, they would be seeing gender equality right about now. Let's go sit this one out.

I grew up watching parades of women heads of state in South Asia. Their coming to power did not change the gender dynamic at the ground level much, if at all. The take home lesson is that it helps to have a black president, or a woman president, but ultimately it is for each black person, and each woman to do what it takes at the ground level to make change happen, and even then it takes time. Barack can pump billions into inner city schools like he did, but the kids are still going to have to show up and work hard. And don't tell me you were not having self esteem issues before Barack showed up.

Supporting a president like Barack Obama is sustained, hard work. It asks for governance literacy. You have to feel his pressures of power. You have to understand the principles behind the three branches of government.

The choice is between going backwards in time, or forging ahead into the future. Barack Obama represents the future. Sarah Reloaded Palin represents the past. She is the American Taliban: Sarah Mullah Omar Palin Taliban.

America need not go into the past. America need not relinquish its number one status. But the American people sure have a choice to make. You have to support a president for him to be able to do great things.

The recession has been painful, sure. But this guy did not create it, he prevented it from getting even worse, and he now deserves the time it will take to put things back to normal and to take the country to new heights.

It is not a choice between Barack Obama and Gandhi. It is a choice between Barack Obam and Sarah Palin. Make the right choice. You will be rewarded.

Is America In Decline? Is It Rome Or FDR?
Newt Gingrich: Monkeyface
White Supremacy: Unsustainable



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