Barackface: Rashtriya Janata Dal

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Thursday, December 10, 2015

नीतिश को ग्रैंड अलायन्स के लिए सुझाव

ग्रैंड अलायन्स को एक राष्ट्रिय स्वरुप देने का प्रयास हो।
सदस्य पार्टी यो को सभी तह पर एक पद एक उम्मेदवार पर जाना होगा।
सदस्य पार्टी के दिल्ली में जितने सांसद हैं सब एक जगह आएंगे, वो निर्वाचक मंडल हुवा। उसमें ५०% से ज्यादा मत जो बटोरे वो ग्रैंड अलायन्स का राष्ट्रिय अध्यक्ष हुवा।
वही फोर्मुला राज्य स्तर पर भी लागु हो।
लेकिन ये तो संगठन वाली बात हुई। उससे ज्यादा महत्वपुर्ण बात है विज़न। Anti-BJP is not a vision.
५ स: सुशासन, शिक्षा, स्वास्थ्य, संरचना, सुलभता।
लक्ष्य है डबल डिजिट ग्रोथ रेट।

युपी में ऐसा नहीं हो सकता? मायावती और अखिलेश ५०-५० सीट डिस्ट्रीब्यूशन करें २०१७ में। जो ज्यादा सीट जितेगा वो मुख मंत्री। ये बात मायावती को बोलो तो वो कहेंगी आप अपनी हवा मिठाई घी के साथ खाओ।

Thursday, October 22, 2015

बिहार ने देश को PM दिया, अब लग रहा है Opposition Leader भी देगा

उड़ती चिड़िया को हल्दी लगाती है बिहारका वोटर

-- श्री लालु प्रसाद जादव

Mid-campaign blues for BJP

The Prime Minister's campaign outings in Bihar are given a break, then rescheduled. The Narendra Modi-Amit Shah monopoly on billboards ends and a cast of local leaders is mounted on hoardings to sell Brand BJP. After weeks of being left to their devices, allies are suddenly called on board for consultations....... If there is a palpable mid-campaign flutter in the BJP backrooms, there may be good reason for it. Key strategies employed by the party have either not worked or backfired.... BJP strategists privately admit the Yadav consolidation behind Lalu in this election is far greater than during the 2014 Lok Sabha election........ RSS boss Mohan Bhagwat may only have added to the growing ranks behind Nitish and Lalu by his repeated calls for reviewing reservations for the underprivileged....... more than half its tickets have gone to upper castes, who form the core base of the party. It has not been able to credibly fight off speculation that it should it win, it will return Bihar to "upper caste raj" after a quarter century. ...... To Bihar's empowered, and majority, Mandal classes, that is not a palatable prospect. If they are hearing Lalu's " amir-garib, adga-pichhda" call, and rallying around, it is a sign they are not willing to give up their power stakes. ...... The BJP tried, with fair determination, to counter the Bhagwat effect with beef. For a period, three senior partymen - Sushil Modi, Giriraj Singh and Dharmendra Pradhan - were tweeting daily and energetically on cow and cow consumption, as if it had become their chief issue. ......

In an uncharacteristic - and desperate - departure from form and image, Sushil Modi even dared Lalu to drink cow-urine in public to prove his love for the bovine classes.
..... after having been showcased a fortnight or so, beef is off the forefront of the BJP's Bihar agenda. The beef spike was among the things that belied the BJP's claim it was contesting the election solely on development. It was also a clue that the party was lost for a clear strategy in Bihar. ...... The Modi wave of 2014 had arched over the many complex caste equations of Bihar. But this is not 2014 redux. To try and enact a repeat of the 2014 Modi-centric poll too may not be working. ...... Unlike the discredited UPA, Nitish is a strong incumbent even after two terms in office, and rides a pro-incumbency sentiment for work done during his years in office. ...... Between Nitish, Lalu and the Congress, the Mahagathbandhan could also ensure minimal rupture of the Muslim vote .......

Modi continues to gather huge crowds but he isn't creating ripples..... but Modi isn't a candidate in this election. And he hasn't made it clear to Biharis who his candidate is.

Lies and half-truths: How Nitish outsmarted RSS, BJP in their own game in Bihar

Politics, like war, is an art of deception. Disinformation and rumours are essential in the arsenal that political parties build to demolish rivals. The RSS-BJP may have earned a formidable reputation, or notoriety, at least in general perception, for deploying falsehoods and half-truths to create a smokescreen to attain political goals, but in Bihar it appears to have met more than a match in Nitish Kumar and Lalu Yadav....... There is little doubt that Nitish Kumar has been resorting to convenient half-truths to deepen the fault-line that exists between Narendra Modi and Sushil Modi. Nitish, who was associated with the BJP for over 17 years, is quite aware of the frictions within various groups of the party. There is little doubt that Sushil Modi fully endorsed the idea of keeping Narendra Modi away from the campaign in Bihar elections to avoid consolidation of Muslim votes in favour of Lalu Yadav. But Sushil was not alone as he found unqualified support from the central leadership. LK Advani, Rajnath Singh and Arun Jaitley found merit in the logic of “keeping away Narendra Modi from Bihar” and deliberately excluded him from the campaign till 2010........ in those days, Sushil Modi was seen as an extension of Nitish Kumar. And there are several instances to prove that till Nitish parted his company with the BJP, he enjoyed unflinching loyalty of Sushil Modi as deputy chief minister. This was evident when Narendra Modi, after winning 2012 assembly election, walked into a meeting of the national development council (NDC) and was greeted by central ministers and all chief ministers except Nitish Kumar at Vigyan Bhavan. Sushil Modi who accompanied Nitish Kumar at the NDC also chose to ignore Narendra Modi and avoided greeting him. The apparent reason for Sushil Modi’s insouciance was his belief that it would be too difficult for the Gujarat strongman to emerge at the national scene given the perception of him being a polarising personality....... As the Bihar battle appears to be in full gear, Nitish Kumar has been strategically washing off his own intransigence towards Narendra Modi by pinning the blame on Sushil Modi. The move is clearly aimed at driving his adversaries in disarray by sowing seeds of doubts within the enemy’s camp. In Bihar election, Nitish Kumar and his team successfully created many smokescreens to cover up their real political objectives.

More recently the JD (U)-RJD successfully spread the rumours that Narendra Modi’s rallies were called off in various places in view of the imminent defeat

Monday, August 17, 2015

Advantage Nitish?

भारतका २४० ट्रिलियन डॉलर वाला अर्थतंत्र बनने का फोर्मुला इजराइल के पास है
18% Growth Rate For Bihar?

Modi deserves 20 years in Delhi. Nitish deserves 20 years in Patna. That is where I stand.

अंग्रेजी में कहा जाता है, I don't seem to be able to wrap my head around this. बिहार में जो १८% आर्थिक वृद्धि दर है उसके बारे में मुझे वही कहना है।

एक हैं बिल गेट्स, दुनिया का सबसे धनवान व्यक्ति। और वो जीजान से गरीबों सेवा में लगे हुवे हैं। लेकिन दुनिया के गरीबों के लिए जितना नीतिश कुमार कर सकते हैं उतना बिल गेट्स नहीं। खुद तो कर रहे हैं, दुनिया को सिखाते भी तो अच्छा होता।

जिसको मैं Global South कहता हुँ, आप Third World बोलते होंगे ----- उस सारे के सारे Global South को नीतिश कृपया सिखावें। कैसे १८% पहुंचा जा सकता है? Nitishism आखिर है क्या?

If Bihar polls were held now, Nitish-Lalu would trump BJP: Survey

The grand alliance of the Rashtriya Janata Dal and Janata Dal-United, which has been wooing OBC and Muslim voters, would bag 129 seats with a vote share of 43%. ....... The BJP, allied with Lok Janshakti Party (LJP) of Ram Vilas Paswan, Former chief minister Jitan Ram Manjhi’s Hindustan Awami Morcha -Secular (HAM-Secular) and Rashtriya Loktantrik Samata Party (RLSP) of Upenndra Prasad Kushwaha, would get 112 seats with a 32% vote share...... If elections were to be held today, the BJP would win 87 seats, Jitan Ram Manjhi’s group 16, the JD-U 99, and the RJD 24. Seven seats would go to others...... around 54% respondents felt Kumar should be given another chance to be chief minister, with 42% rooting for former deputy chief minister Modi. ...... Sixty-two percent of the respondents felt the BJP-JD-U alliance’s government was better than the government run exclusively by the JD-U. Kumar was far ahead of Manjhi when it came to his performance as the chief minister........ According to the opinion poll, the NDA is expected to lead in Bhojpur and Magadh regions because of Manjhi’s appeal, while the RJD-JD-U alliance along with Congress is likely to dominate Seemanchal, east Bihar and Mithilanchal......The survey suggested that the JD-U and its allies would get 57% of the vote share and the BJP and its allies 41%.

Monday, July 20, 2015

Laloo's 1,000 Tumtums

Lalu Prasad today said his party will counter the 160 'Parivartan raths' with 1000 'tumtums'. Fitted with 'bhoppu' (loudspeakers), these low budget 'tumtums' would move in the interior areas of Bihar carrying the party's message for the poor and expose the BJP, he said...... Prasad made a scathing attack at the Modi government and said "when the poor asks for roti, the government asks them to do yoga." ...... Prasad said this at a function in the Gandhi Maidan which was the venue of an NDA function yesterday where BJP president Amit Shah flagged off 160 high-tech 'Parivartan raths'. ...... He asserted if the caste report was not made public he would observe one day protest fast on July 26 and RJD would organise Bihar bandh the next day.

Friday, July 10, 2015

How Nitish Lost Momentum

The Next Chief Minister Of Bihar?
Sushil Modi
Janakpur Patna Kolkata Industrial Corridor
Sushil Modi In Janakpurdham
Advantage Sushil Modi
सुशील मोदी क्या कह रहे हैं?
बिहार के उभरते चेहरे
Bihar Is Now 55-45

English: Bihar Districts (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Upto coining the phrase Bihar@2025, he had it. Laloo had just come around. And his momentum was reflected in the in-fighting that had started in the BJP camp.

But then. Nitish has made no effort to elaborate on Bihar@2025. What is it? What is the roadmap? What is the vision? Just one word will not do. He might have organized a conclave, called in top minds in Bihar to pontificate. वैसे ही announce कर के छोड़ दिया। पुल का उदघाटन कर दिया, पुल बनाया नहीं।

Also, Laloo has gone to his old ways by haggling on what seats he should get. He wants to get most of the Yadav-Muslim seats. Whereas a good point to start would have been to let Nitish have 100 of the 112 seats he already has in his dicky.

Right now it is advantage BJP: 55-45.

The biggest mistake Nitish made was he took Advani's bait. When Advani warned of a possible "emergency," Nitish plunged head in and took a bite. That act is not Bihar@2025. A Bihar@2025 vision statement is one that makes peace with Narendra Modi being at the helm in Delhi, not because he is the better candidate, that is irrelevant, but because he is the choice of the people of Bihar. लोकतंत्र का मैंडेट है। जनता जनार्दन होती है। अगर आज नरेन्द्र मोदी दिल्ली में बैठे हैं तो बिहारियों का सबसे बड़ा योगदान है। उत्तर प्रदेश was a low hanging fruit, Bihar was the real battle in 2014.

It is like this. Laloo was doing excellent as Railway Minister but he had very few MPs. That is when he started saying how he wants to be PM and all. And Rahul Gandhi got rid of him. You don't become PM with 10 MPs, or 20. You have to self-assess, or Rahul is going to do it for you.

अभी नीतिश opposition लीडर बनने के रास्ते पर चल रहे हैं। सुमो का पलड़ा भारी पड़ गया है।

Grand coalition in Bihar has failed, says BJP

He said that JD(U) leader and Chief Minister Nitish Kumar’s slogan, “Barta Bihar, fir ayenge Nitish”, will now turn into “Darta bihar, ab nahin Nitish”.

Janata Parivar a Damp Squib: Amit Shah After BJP's Win in Bihar Legislative Council Elections

Mr Shah said, "The countdown to BJP's victory in Bihar has started today. The BJP-led NDA has won 13 out of 24 seats while it earlier held only five seats. There was a lot of hype around Janata Parivar in Bihar but people have proved that it is a damp squib."

BJP Deals Blow to Nitish-Lalu in Legislative Council Elections Months Ahead of Bihar Polls

As the BJP celebrated, Chief Minister Nitish Kumar said, "This was not an election where the common people vote. It was a council election. If the BJP wants to be so happy about it, let them be. They anyway like to live in this fantasy world." ..... "This is not a semi-final to the assembly elections," said a spokesperson of his Janata Dal United. ..... Elected members of the assembly and local bodies like panchayats vote in the legislative council elections. ...... The JDU, which has won five of the alliance's 10 seats, reportedly assesses that Lalu Yadav, who has won four, has not been successful in transferring his votes to the alliance. That will be nagging worry as the assembly elections approach.

Saturday, July 04, 2015

Which Way Goes Bihar?

Map of Bihar showing location of Bhimbandh Wildlife Sanctuary (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Advani's Ghost And Nitish
Modi: A Force Of Nature
Elon Musk's Hyperloop And India
नीतिश और लालु को अनुशासन दिखानी होगी
भारतको १५% ग्रोथ रेट चाहिए
Land Acquisition And Labor Mobility
India Agenda: 100 World Class Universities
१५% Growth Rake कैसे Achieve करें
मोदी और सौर्य उर्जा
A Genuine World Government
मोदी, नीतिश, नेपाल, नेपालके मधेसी और मैं
JD (U) 80-90, RJD 50-60, Congress/Left 10-20
Bihar: The NDA's Turn To Crack?
मोदी और नीतिश को एक दुसरे की जरुरत है
Bihar@2025 = $240 Billion
नरेन्द्र मोदी, बिहार और नीतिश कुमार
नीतिश कुमार और नरेंद्र मोदी: दोनों के दोनों

इस साल के बिहार के चुनाव के बारे में मैंने ३०-७०, ४५-५५, ५५-४५, ६५-३५, और अब ५५-४५ की बात की है। अभी जैसा कि मैं देख रहा हुँ नीतिश ५५ और बीजेपी वालों ४५ पर हैं। लेकिन ये बिहार है ("उड़ती चिड़िया को हल्दी लगाती है बिहार का वोटर!" ---- श्री लालु प्रसाद यादव) --- अभी स्थिति फिर भी काफी तरल है।

लालु ने फिर से बखेड़ा किया तो बीजेपी को फ़ायदा हो जाएगी। नीतिश को जो १०० सीट मिलना है, अभी जो उनके पास ११२ है कि क्या है उसी में से वो १०० रखेंगे। लालु इस बात को चैलेंज करने का नाटक करेंगे तो बीजेपी बगैर कैंपेन किए ही जित जाएगी।

लालु ने बखेड़ा किया और नरेंद्र मोदी दो हप्ते लगातार बिहार में बैठ गए, तो हो गइ दोनों की छुट्टी। दोनों को भुतपूर्व मुख्यमंत्री निवास मिला ही है, उसी में बैठेंगे। दोनों पास पास भी है।

नहीं अगर लालु एकता को बनाए रखते हैं, और नीतिश Bihar@2025 की बातको जनताको ठीक से समझा पाते हैं, और नरेंद्र मोदी बिहार में दो हप्ता बिताने के वावजूद बीजेपी बिहार में हार जाती है अगर तो नरेंद्र मोदी को राष्ट्रिय स्तर पर धक्का पहुंचेगा। इस बात को वो जरूर समझते होंगे। अगर नरेंद्र मोदी को लगा कि बिहार में जीत संभव नहीं तो वो शायद ज्यादा समय ना दें --- वैसे भी प्रधान मंत्री बहुत व्यस्त रहते हैं। दुनिया का सबसे व्यस्त आदमी।

Bihar@2025 की ताकत ये है कि आप जनताको सन्देश दे रहे हैं: (१) आप दिल्ली का सपना नहीं देख रहे हैं क्यों कि आप अच्छे हैं तो पटना में रहिए, आप दिल्ली जाइएगा कैसे? फिर एक और जितन को कुर्सी देके बिहार का मजाक उड़बाइयेगा? Bihar became a national joke all over again. पटना में आप जो कर सकते हैं वो और कोइ कर ही नहीं सकता, आप का कोइ उत्तराधिकारी नहीं है। रह गयी दिल्ली की बात तो वो आप जनता पर छोड़ दिजिए, लोकतंत्र है, जनताके निर्णय को स्वीकार किजिए और दिल से किजिए। और जनता ने निर्णय कर लिया है। मोदी। दिल्ली में मोदी अभी १५ या २० साल रहेंगे। आप को पटना में जितना रहना है रहिए। योग किजिए, सेहत बनाए रहिए, और आप भी रहिए १५ साल पटना में। कौन रोक रहा है? और आडवाणी से बचके रहिए। उनको प्रधान मंत्री न बनने का pain है, and misery loves company. व्यक्तिगत तौर पर आप को जिसे मानना है मानिए, लेकिन राजनीति में तो जनता को मानना होता है, जनताके मैंडेट को मानना होता है। (२) आप इंजीनियर पढ़े लोग हैं, physics के laws होते होते हैं उसी तरह politics के भी कुछ laws होते हैं। एक है: All Elections Are About The Future. जनता से बैन नहीं मांगिए, आगे क्या करिएगा वो कहिए। आगे १० साल में आप बिहार को कहाँ ले जाना चाहते हैं --- वो विज़न दिजिए।

ऐसा भी हो सकता है कि नीतिश जित जाते हैं, ५५-४५ की मार्जिन से। उसके एक साल बाद लालु झगड़ा पर उतर आते हैं और अलायन्स टुट जाती है, और बीजेपी फिर जुनियर मेम्बर बन के अलायन्स में आ जाती है। और नीतिश और सुमो मिल के फिर १० साल राज करते हैं, बिहार को एक Golden Age देते हैं, the only state in India growing at 20% per year, the state doing the best work in education and health.

बीजेपी एक बहुत बड़ा tent है और चुँकि भारत लोकतंत्र है, चीन तो नहीं कि कोइ गलत बोले तो उसको आप गोली से उदा देंगे। तो नरेंद्र मोदी को लोकतंत्र के परिधि को मानना पड़ता है। नहीं तो social issues पर मोदी और नीतिश दोनों के विचार एक जैसे हैं। Narendra Modi's strategy is to talk loudly about development to drown out the voices of the fringe elements inside his own party, and inside the RSS. नीतिश का पार्टी अलग है तो वो तो खुल के बोल सकते हैं और बोलना भी चाहिए। हम तो उनसे भी भी कड़ा बोलते हैं।

On things like land acquisition and labor mobility, and on bullet trains, Narendra Modi is right. Nitish Kumar has to come around to it. Narendra Modi is no corporate stooge. He realizes his government funds are very limited, and if he will rely only on his funds, he can not do much, he needs the private sector to do 70% of what he hopes to achieve. That is why he works so hard to be business friendly.

मोदी को दिल्ली की कुर्सी पर बिठाया ही बिहार की जनता ने। उत्तर प्रदेश तो आसान था, it was a low hanging fruit. बिहार कठिन था। मोदी को मानिए ना मानिए लेकिन बिहार की जनता को तो मानिए।

दिल्ली में नमो, पटना में नीकु + सुमो और वाशिंगटन में बिहारी बाबु सिन्हा। हीरो को एम्बेसडर बनाइए। न वाशिंगटन तो लंदन ही सही।

Friday, June 26, 2015

Long Live The Roti?

हिन्दी: देश के उप राष्ट्रपति मोहम्मद हामिद अंसारी पटना में पूर्व मुख्यमंत्री सत्येन्द्र नारायण सिन्हा(छोटे साहब) की 94वीं जयंती पर आयोजित व्याख्यानमाला श्रंखला पर पूर्व सांसद किशोरी सिन्हा और मुख्यमंत्री नीतीश कुमार के साथ (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Bihar: BJP’s Mission 185 under threat as allies fight over seat sharing

The top leadership of the party is taken by surprise by the aggression being displayed by junior NDA allies with only marginal presence in the state. They have stopped being docile and it does not augur well for the BJP which is caught in its own low intensity conflicts over leadership. Poor handling of the situation could rip apart the umbrella alliance of caste-based outfits, rendering the NDA weak against the combined might of Lalu Prasad and Nitish Kumar........ As if offering himself as the NDA’s chief minister candidate was not enough, Upendra Kushwaha, leader of the Rashtriya Lok Samata Party (RLSP), has even come up with a formula for distribution seats among the allies. As per his formula, BJP should contest on 102 seats—the number of seats it had been spared by the JD(U) while both were parts of the NDA, 74 seats should be allotted to the LJP whereas the remaining 67 seats should go to his party. He even suggested that all the three partners should spare seats in a proportionate way in case Jitan Ram Manjhi becomes parts of the NDA. .... Kushwaha, a creation of Nitish Kumar ..... the Lok Janshakti Party (LJP) headed by Union minister Ram Vilas Paswan too is trying to extract its pound of flesh from the BJP. The party with no legislator in the Bihar assembly has announced that it would oppose five candidates from Manjhi’s party ....... LJP, which corners five percent of votes on an average, is scared that Manjhi may emerge as a taller Dalit leader than him. Manjhi represents some 23 percent of Mahadalit population comprising 23 sub-castes of Dalits but he too remains to be tested as his newly-formed Hindustani Awam Morcha (HAM) is yet to join any election. Manjhi formed the HAM shortly after his rebellion against Nitish in February this year. ...... Right now Manjhi and Paswan, two coalition partners of the BJP, are now engaged in bitter verbal duels on the streets much to the merriment of the grand secular alliance. While the LJP has declared to oppose HAM candidates, Manjhi has dared Paswan to do that ....... Past records show that the BJP has grown up in Bihar more due to bitter rivalries among various splinter groups of the Janata family than its own strength. The party, which enjoys its support primarily among the upper castes and the Bania community, banked on the support of either Samata Party, the Janata Dal (United) or the LJP for its success. This is the first time in 20 years that it will be facing a united Janata family comprising Nitish and Lalu with the Congress and the NCP on their side.

Infographic: Here's how much our MPs lunch is subsidised