Advantage Nitish?

भारतका २४० ट्रिलियन डॉलर वाला अर्थतंत्र बनने का फोर्मुला इजराइल के पास है
18% Growth Rate For Bihar?



Modi deserves 20 years in Delhi. Nitish deserves 20 years in Patna. That is where I stand.

अंग्रेजी में कहा जाता है, I don't seem to be able to wrap my head around this. बिहार में जो १८% आर्थिक वृद्धि दर है उसके बारे में मुझे वही कहना है।

एक हैं बिल गेट्स, दुनिया का सबसे धनवान व्यक्ति। और वो जीजान से गरीबों  सेवा में लगे हुवे हैं। लेकिन दुनिया के गरीबों के लिए जितना नीतिश कुमार कर सकते हैं उतना बिल गेट्स नहीं। खुद तो कर रहे हैं, दुनिया को सिखाते भी तो अच्छा होता।

जिसको मैं Global South कहता हुँ, आप Third World बोलते होंगे ----- उस सारे के सारे Global South को नीतिश कृपया सिखावें। कैसे १८% पहुंचा जा सकता है? Nitishism आखिर है क्या?

If Bihar polls were held now, Nitish-Lalu would trump BJP: Survey

The grand alliance of the Rashtriya Janata Dal and Janata Dal-United, which has been wooing OBC and Muslim voters, would bag 129 seats with a vote share of 43%. ....... The BJP, allied with Lok Janshakti Party (LJP) of Ram Vilas Paswan, Former chief minister Jitan Ram Manjhi’s Hindustan Awami Morcha -Secular (HAM-Secular) and Rashtriya Loktantrik Samata Party (RLSP) of Upenndra Prasad Kushwaha, would get 112 seats with a 32% vote share...... If elections were to be held today, the BJP would win 87 seats, Jitan Ram Manjhi’s group 16, the JD-U 99, and the RJD 24. Seven seats would go to others...... around 54% respondents felt Kumar should be given another chance to be chief minister, with 42% rooting for former deputy chief minister Modi. ...... Sixty-two percent of the respondents felt the BJP-JD-U alliance’s government was better than the government run exclusively by the JD-U. Kumar was far ahead of Manjhi when it came to his performance as the chief minister........ According to the opinion poll, the NDA is expected to lead in Bhojpur and Magadh regions because of Manjhi’s appeal, while the RJD-JD-U alliance along with Congress is likely to dominate Seemanchal, east Bihar and Mithilanchal......The survey suggested that the JD-U and its allies would get 57% of the vote share and the BJP and its allies 41%.

Related articles

• BJP may give away only 80 seats in Bihar
• Denied seats, SP launches protest
• JD-U, RJD to Contest 100 Seats Each in Bihar
• Bihar polls: NCP demands 'at least 12 seats' from Nitish and co
• NDA to formally kickstart Bihar campaign with 160 'parivartan raths'
• PATNA DURBAR: Can Modi magic win the BJP Bihar?
• Bihar polls: Amit Shah to roll out 160 'raths' to launch NDA's campaign
• Rabri Devi not to contest Bihar Assembly polls
• Vyapam will have no impact on Bihar assembly polls: Paswan
• Bihar MLC Elections: What The Future Holds For The RJD-JD(U) Parivar

Which Way Goes Bihar?

Map of Bihar showing location of Bhimbandh Wildlife Sanctuary (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Advani's Ghost And Nitish
Modi: A Force Of Nature
Elon Musk's Hyperloop And India
नीतिश और लालु को अनुशासन दिखानी होगी
भारतको १५% ग्रोथ रेट चाहिए
Land Acquisition And Labor Mobility
India Agenda: 100 World Class Universities
१५% Growth Rake कैसे Achieve करें
मोदी और सौर्य उर्जा
A Genuine World Government
मोदी, नीतिश, नेपाल, नेपालके मधेसी और मैं
JD (U) 80-90, RJD 50-60, Congress/Left 10-20
Bihar: The NDA's Turn To Crack?
मोदी और नीतिश को एक दुसरे की जरुरत है
Bihar@2025 = $240 Billion
नरेन्द्र मोदी, बिहार और नीतिश कुमार
नीतिश कुमार और नरेंद्र मोदी: दोनों के दोनों

इस साल के बिहार के चुनाव के बारे में मैंने ३०-७०, ४५-५५, ५५-४५, ६५-३५, और अब ५५-४५ की बात की है। अभी जैसा कि मैं देख रहा हुँ नीतिश ५५ और बीजेपी वालों ४५ पर हैं। लेकिन ये बिहार है ("उड़ती चिड़िया को हल्दी लगाती है बिहार का वोटर!" ---- श्री लालु प्रसाद यादव) --- अभी स्थिति फिर भी काफी तरल है।

लालु ने फिर से बखेड़ा किया तो बीजेपी को फ़ायदा हो जाएगी। नीतिश को जो १०० सीट मिलना है, अभी जो उनके पास ११२ है कि क्या है उसी में से वो १०० रखेंगे। लालु इस बात को चैलेंज करने का नाटक करेंगे तो बीजेपी बगैर कैंपेन किए ही जित जाएगी।

लालु ने बखेड़ा किया और नरेंद्र मोदी दो हप्ते लगातार बिहार में बैठ गए, तो हो गइ दोनों की छुट्टी। दोनों को भुतपूर्व मुख्यमंत्री निवास मिला ही है, उसी में बैठेंगे। दोनों पास पास भी है।

नहीं अगर लालु एकता को बनाए रखते हैं, और नीतिश Bihar@2025 की बातको जनताको ठीक से समझा पाते हैं, और नरेंद्र मोदी बिहार में दो हप्ता बिताने के वावजूद बीजेपी बिहार में हार जाती है अगर तो नरेंद्र मोदी को राष्ट्रिय स्तर पर धक्का पहुंचेगा। इस बात को वो जरूर समझते होंगे। अगर नरेंद्र मोदी को लगा कि बिहार में जीत संभव नहीं तो वो शायद ज्यादा समय ना दें --- वैसे भी प्रधान मंत्री बहुत व्यस्त रहते हैं। दुनिया का सबसे व्यस्त आदमी।

Bihar@2025 की ताकत ये है कि आप जनताको सन्देश दे रहे हैं: (१) आप दिल्ली का सपना नहीं देख रहे हैं क्यों कि आप अच्छे हैं तो पटना में रहिए, आप दिल्ली जाइएगा कैसे? फिर एक और जितन को कुर्सी देके बिहार का मजाक उड़बाइयेगा? Bihar became a national joke all over again. पटना में आप जो कर सकते हैं वो और कोइ कर ही नहीं सकता, आप का कोइ उत्तराधिकारी नहीं है। रह गयी दिल्ली की बात तो वो आप जनता पर छोड़ दिजिए, लोकतंत्र है, जनताके निर्णय को स्वीकार किजिए और दिल से किजिए। और जनता ने निर्णय कर लिया है। मोदी। दिल्ली में मोदी अभी १५ या २० साल रहेंगे। आप को पटना में जितना रहना है रहिए। योग किजिए, सेहत बनाए रहिए, और आप भी रहिए १५ साल पटना में। कौन रोक रहा है? और आडवाणी से बचके रहिए। उनको प्रधान मंत्री न बनने का pain है, and misery loves company. व्यक्तिगत तौर पर आप को जिसे मानना है मानिए, लेकिन राजनीति में तो जनता को मानना होता है, जनताके मैंडेट को मानना होता है। (२) आप इंजीनियर पढ़े लोग हैं, physics के laws होते होते हैं उसी तरह politics के भी कुछ laws होते हैं। एक है: All Elections Are About The Future. जनता से बैन नहीं मांगिए, आगे क्या करिएगा वो कहिए। आगे १० साल में आप बिहार को कहाँ ले जाना चाहते हैं --- वो विज़न दिजिए।

ऐसा भी हो सकता है कि नीतिश जित जाते हैं, ५५-४५ की मार्जिन से। उसके एक साल बाद लालु झगड़ा पर उतर आते हैं और अलायन्स टुट जाती है, और बीजेपी फिर जुनियर मेम्बर बन के अलायन्स में आ जाती है। और नीतिश और सुमो मिल के फिर १० साल राज करते हैं, बिहार को एक Golden Age देते हैं, the only state in India growing at 20% per year, the state doing the best work in education and health.

बीजेपी एक बहुत बड़ा tent है और चुँकि भारत लोकतंत्र है, चीन तो नहीं कि कोइ गलत बोले तो उसको आप गोली से उदा देंगे। तो नरेंद्र मोदी को लोकतंत्र के परिधि को मानना पड़ता है। नहीं तो social issues पर मोदी और नीतिश दोनों के विचार एक जैसे हैं। Narendra Modi's strategy is to talk loudly about development to drown out the voices of the fringe elements inside his own party, and inside the RSS. नीतिश का पार्टी अलग है तो वो तो खुल के बोल सकते हैं और बोलना भी चाहिए। हम तो उनसे भी भी कड़ा बोलते हैं।

On things like land acquisition and labor mobility, and on bullet trains, Narendra Modi is right. Nitish Kumar has to come around to it. Narendra Modi is no corporate stooge. He realizes his government funds are very limited, and if he will rely only on his funds, he can not do much, he needs the private sector to do 70% of what he hopes to achieve. That is why he works so hard to be business friendly.

मोदी को दिल्ली की कुर्सी पर बिठाया ही बिहार की जनता ने। उत्तर प्रदेश तो आसान था, it was a low hanging fruit. बिहार कठिन था। मोदी को मानिए ना मानिए लेकिन बिहार की जनता को तो मानिए।

दिल्ली में नमो, पटना में नीकु + सुमो और वाशिंगटन में बिहारी बाबु सिन्हा। हीरो को एम्बेसडर बनाइए। न वाशिंगटन तो लंदन ही सही।

Related articles

• JD(U), BJP battle it out over Bihar Assembly elections
• Bihar polls: BJP, JD(U) hit out at each other
• Lalu feels young enough to take on BJP
• Parcha pe charcha, horse drawn carts: Nitish, Lalu's new ways to woo voters
• United under Nitish Kumar: From sure-fire to a 'maybe', how Bihar changed for BJP
• Bihar poll: BJP uncertain on naming CM candidate (News Analysis)

Long Live The Roti?

हिन्दी: देश के उप राष्ट्रपति मोहम्मद हामिद अंसारी पटना में पूर्व मुख्यमंत्री सत्येन्द्र नारायण सिन्हा(छोटे साहब) की 94वीं जयंती पर आयोजित व्याख्यानमाला श्रंखला पर पूर्व सांसद किशोरी सिन्हा और मुख्यमंत्री नीतीश कुमार के साथ (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Bihar: BJP’s Mission 185 under threat as allies fight over seat sharing

The top leadership of the party is taken by surprise by the aggression being displayed by junior NDA allies with only marginal presence in the state. They have stopped being docile and it does not augur well for the BJP which is caught in its own low intensity conflicts over leadership. Poor handling of the situation could rip apart the umbrella alliance of caste-based outfits, rendering the NDA weak against the combined might of Lalu Prasad and Nitish Kumar........ As if offering himself as the NDA’s chief minister candidate was not enough, Upendra Kushwaha, leader of the Rashtriya Lok Samata Party (RLSP), has even come up with a formula for distribution seats among the allies. As per his formula, BJP should contest on 102 seats—the number of seats it had been spared by the JD(U) while both were parts of the NDA, 74 seats should be allotted to the LJP whereas the remaining 67 seats should go to his party. He even suggested that all the three partners should spare seats in a proportionate way in case Jitan Ram Manjhi becomes parts of the NDA. .... Kushwaha, a creation of Nitish Kumar ..... the Lok Janshakti Party (LJP) headed by Union minister Ram Vilas Paswan too is trying to extract its pound of flesh from the BJP. The party with no legislator in the Bihar assembly has announced that it would oppose five candidates from Manjhi’s party ....... LJP, which corners five percent of votes on an average, is scared that Manjhi may emerge as a taller Dalit leader than him. Manjhi represents some 23 percent of Mahadalit population comprising 23 sub-castes of Dalits but he too remains to be tested as his newly-formed Hindustani Awam Morcha (HAM) is yet to join any election. Manjhi formed the HAM shortly after his rebellion against Nitish in February this year. ...... Right now Manjhi and Paswan, two coalition partners of the BJP, are now engaged in bitter verbal duels on the streets much to the merriment of the grand secular alliance. While the LJP has declared to oppose HAM candidates, Manjhi has dared Paswan to do that ....... Past records show that the BJP has grown up in Bihar more due to bitter rivalries among various splinter groups of the Janata family than its own strength. The party, which enjoys its support primarily among the upper castes and the Bania community, banked on the support of either Samata Party, the Janata Dal (United) or the LJP for its success. This is the first time in 20 years that it will be facing a united Janata family comprising Nitish and Lalu with the Congress and the NCP on their side.

Infographic: Here's how much our MPs lunch is subsidised

items like 'puri sabji' being sold at 88 percent subsidised rates

Related articles

• No dispute in the NDA over a chief ministerial face for Bihar, says Paswan
• Lalu and Nitish will backstab each other: Ram Vilas Paswan
• 'Will do anything to destroy Lalu-Nitish coming together': Ram Vilas Paswan
• Manjhi finally moves out of Bihar CM's official bungalow
• RJD-JD(U) combine a coalition of desperation, says BJP
• Battle for Bihar - Paswan says wait to know CM candidate
• United under Nitish Kumar: From sure-fire to a 'maybe', how Bihar changed for BJP
• BJP in trouble in Bihar as its allies LJP and RLSP play games
• Manjhi likely to join NDA, BJP initiates talks with allies
• Practice Yoga Regularly, Bihar Chief Minister Nitish Kumar Advises BJP President Amit Shah

Bihar: My Projections

It was advantage Modi during the Lok Sabha election last year. It was advantage Nitish during the bypolls that followed. But much has changed since then. Nitish has lost Jitan Majhi and Laloo has lost Pappu Yadav. Not only has Nitish lost Jitan Majhi, he has lost him to the BJP camp.

बिहार में आम की राजनीति

If it were the BJP, Paswan and Kushwaha one one side, and Nitish, Laloo, Congress, NCP, Left, Jitan, Pappu on the other side, it was a 50-50 contest with a slight advantage to the BJP still. That was the case during the bypolls, but that is no longer the case. Pappu is in neither camp right now.

So right now, the way I see it, it is Advantage Sushil Modi.

But that is if Nitish and Laloo manage to stick together. If they contest separately, the BJP sweep of the state might mirror its sweep during the Lok Sabha elections last year.

Sushil Modi In Janakpurdham
Janakpur Patna Kolkata Industrial Corridor
बिहार के लिए फोर्मुला
World, India, Bihar
The Next Chief Minister Of Bihar?

A nightmare scenario for Nitish would be if even Pappu decides to join the BJP led front. At that point it is a no contest. It will be a clear BJP sweep.

Nitish gave seven excellent years to Bihar, उसके बाद उन्होने अडवाणी के लिए आत्म दाह कर लिया।

The BJP has declared a desire to contest 185 seats, Paswan wants 60, Kushwaha 40, Jitan wants 40, Pappu is open to being part of the alliance. Considering there are only 245 seats available, they might go for a 130-35-25-30-25 kind of split.

Related articles

• Jitan Ram Manjhi meets Narendra Modi with plan to take on Nitish
• Expelled RJD leader Pappu Yadav launches JAM front that could harm Janata Parivar
• Bihar polls: Shah hints at alliance with former CM Manjhi
• Pappu Yadav expelled from RJD, may join hands with BJP
• BJP is working hard to dethrone Nitish Kumar by working hard on Lalu Yadav
• Glitches in fight against saffron party in Bihar
• Bihar: Lalu-Nitish's Janta Parivar may find it difficult to handle Pappu Yadav
• Pappu Yadav floats new outfit
• Expelled RJD leader Pappu Yadav floats new party in Bihar

Yes, Mr. Paswan, October, But Next October

English: Flag of Janata Dal (United) of India (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Ram Vilas Paswan has been saying Bihar will see elections by October. He is right, but he might be off the mark by about a year. Bihar will see state elections by October 2015. And I expect Nitish to come back with 150 seats in the state assembly.

Nitish should allow Modi about a year in Delhi. That will be good timing.

Related articles

• Nitish Kumar had no options other than than quitting: Ramvilas Paswan
• Nitish resignation: It's drama, he had no choice, says Paswan
• Hit by Narendra Modi wave, Bihar Chief Minister Nitish Kumar resigns
• Nitish Kumar government will fall: Ram Vilas Paswan
• It's All Drama: Ram Vilas Paswan on Nitish Kumar's Resignation
• Nitish Kumar quits as Bihar CM