Showing posts with label Kamala Harris. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Kamala Harris. Show all posts

Thursday, September 12, 2024

Strawberry



Putin warns that allowing Ukraine to strike deep into Russia will draw West into war
First Post-Debate Poll Shows Kamala Harris Breaking Out With Lead
Russia threatens nuclear retaliation over Western missiles in Ukraine

OpenAI Announces a New AI Model, Code-Named Strawberry, That Solves Difficult Problems Step by Step The ChatGPT maker reveals details of what’s officially known as OpenAI-o1, which shows that AI needs more than scale to advance........ OpenAI made the last big breakthrough in artificial intelligence by increasing the size of its models to dizzying proportions, when it introduced GPT-4 last year. The company today announced a new advance that signals a shift in approach—a model that can “reason” logically through many difficult problems and is significantly smarter than existing AI without a major scale-up. ......... Rather than summon up an answer in one step, as a large language model normally does, it reasons through the problem, effectively thinking out loud as a person might, before arriving at the right result......... “There are two paradigms,” Murati says. “The scaling paradigm and this new paradigm. We expect that we will bring them together.” ......... LLMs typically conjure their answers from huge neural networks fed vast quantities of training data. They can exhibit remarkable linguistic and logical abilities, but traditionally struggle with surprisingly simple problems such as rudimentary math questions that involve reasoning. ........ Reinforcement learning has enabled computers to play games with superhuman skill and do useful tasks like designing computer chips. The technique is also a key ingredient for turning an LLM into a useful and well-behaved chatbot. ....... “The [new] model is learning to think for itself, rather than kind of trying to imitate the way humans would think” .......... OpenAI says its new model performs markedly better on a number of problem sets, including ones focused on coding, math, physics, biology, and chemistry. ......... The new model is slower than GPT-4o, and OpenAI says it does not always perform better—in part because, unlike GPT-4o, it cannot search the web and it is not multimodal, meaning it cannot parse images or audio. .......... In July, Google announced AlphaProof, a project that combines language models with reinforcement learning for solving difficult math problems. ....... “I do think we have made some breakthroughs there; I think it is part of our edge,” Chen says. “It’s actually fairly good at reasoning across all domains.” ......... Noah Goodman, a professor at Stanford who has published work on improving the reasoning abilities of LLMs, says the key to more generalized training may involve using a “carefully prompted language model and handcrafted data” for training. He adds that being able to consistently trade the speed of results for greater accuracy would be a “nice advance.”

London shopkeeper thought Amitabh Bachchan couldn't afford a £120 tie. Here's how he taught him a lesson
U.S. Latino economic output grows to $3.6 trillion, new report finds “There is no doubt that the U.S. Latino economy is a formidable force, characterized by strong GDP growth, significant population expansion, high workforce participation, and increased educational achievements” ........ “This is not a matter of diversity and inclusion; it is a critical business strategy”........

Hispanic household wealth has tripled over the last decade

........... Latinos lost up to two-thirds of their median household wealth in the wake of the Great Recession. ........... a forecast for the U.S. Latino economy through 2029. It shows the cohort’s economic output will surpass Japan’s by 2024 and Germany’s by 2027 ........ “A young Latino in the U.S. turns 18 every thirty seconds.”




Something New: On OpenAI's "Strawberry" and Reasoning It is amazing, still limited, and, perhaps most importantly, a signal of where things are heading......... In fact, it can now beat human PhD experts in solving extremely hard physics problems.......... The AI “thinks” about the problem first, for a full 108 seconds (most problems are solved in much shorter times). You can see its thoughts ........ GPT-o1 does things that would have been impossible without Strawberry, but it still isn’t flawless: errors and hallucinations still happen, and it is still limited by the “intelligence” of GPT-4o as the underlying model .....

Using GPT-o1 means confronting a paradigm change in AI.



Saturday, September 07, 2024

7: Kamala Harris



Nate Silver's Election Model Shows Donald Trump Surging

Former Republican Vice President Dick Cheney says he'll vote for Harris
Top 10 people most likely to reach trillionaire status

Why I Still Think Trump Will Win

India and Modi High Step Into China’s Backyard Can New Delhi take advantage of Beijing’s weakened economic clout to expand its own influence in Southeast Asia? ...... With China burdened by an intractable economic slowdown, India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi has gone on a multi-nation tour to impress its newfound influence around the world. He’s just been to both Kyiv and Moscow. This week, he’s in Brunei and Singapore in Southeast Asia, a region China considers its backyard. ....... China has accounted for about 97% of the world’s increase in coal production since 2018. Now, however, it has been left with a vast and slowly deteriorating pile of solid fuel. … There’s little reason for climate advocates to celebrate the fact that this inventory isn’t being burned. Coal that’s oxidized in a stockpile will produce carbon dioxide just as surely as the stuff that’s incinerated in a power plant — it just won’t produce any useful energy, a worst-of-both-worlds situation.”

Why A.I. Isn’t Going to Make Art To create a novel or a painting, an artist makes choices that are fundamentally alien to artificial intelligence.

Wednesday, September 04, 2024

4: Kamala Harris

James Carville: Three Things Kamala Harris Must Do to Win I hate to say it, but Donald Trump remains the singular most recognized name in the United States. Since he moseyed down that golden escalator in 2015, he has dominated the American airwaves and algorithms. Whether they hate him or love him, people know exactly what Mr. Trump’s shtick is. ..........

Wednesday, August 14, 2024

14: Kamala Harris



Why China’s and Russia’s Militaries Are Training Together The two countries have held joint exercises near Alaska, Taiwan and Japan in defiance of the United States and its alliances.

Monday, August 05, 2024

5: Kamala Harris

The Economist Who Predicted What Could Well Be the Next Recession

How 2024 Became the Zoom Election Hastily assembled mega-rallies conducted over Zoom are raising millions to elect Kamala Harris, giving the videoconferencing app an unexpected role in this year’s campaign. ......... Zoom was not built for grass-roots political organizing. But over the past several weeks, it has become a critical piece of campaign tech for Democrats hoping to elect Kamala Harris. Star-studded Zoom rallies have drawn hordes of viewers, raised tens of millions of dollars and given enthusiastic Democrats an easy way to get involved. ........... “The feeling a lot of people have about politics today, I haven’t seen anything like it since 2008,” said Ross Morales Rocketto, the organizer of a “White Dudes for Harris” call last Monday night that drew 60,000 attendees and raised more than $4 million. ......... There’s a raw, unpolished feel to these meetings that I think helps explain their popularity. Most of the speakers aren’t dressed in suits and reading from prepared remarks; they’re ad-libbing into grainy webcams in their garages and home offices, often framed by terrible lighting and occasionally interrupted by their pets. .......... The mood in the meetings I saw was joyful and optimistic, not preachy or grim, and the tech glitches (Mark Hamill struggling to unmute himself) and glimpses of domestic normalcy (Lance Bass from ’N Sync earnestly praising the Harris campaign while his children played in his living room behind him) only added to the feeling of authenticity. The overall vibe was less corporate strategy meeting, more chaotic pep rally. ........ (The organizers of “White Dudes for Harris” got around Zoom’s limitations by simultaneously streaming their event to YouTube, and inviting people to watch it there.).......... The company’s stock market value fell from a pandemic-era high of roughly $160 billion to around $18 billion today, as workers returned to the office and competitors like Google Meet and Microsoft Teams strengthened their products.



Inside the Obama-Shapiro Relationship The speaking style of Gov. Josh Shapiro of Pennsylvania, a potential vice presidential pick, can sound suspiciously similar to President Obama’s. But the real connection between the two men is deeper than commonly known. .......... Over the nearly two decades since that early endorsement, Mr. Shapiro and Mr. Obama remained in touch, developing a connection that is closer than is commonly understood, according to interviews with people who know them both. Now, Mr. Shapiro is a popular governor in a crucial battleground state who could join a presidential ticket himself, as Vice President Kamala Harris, another early Obama supporter, weighs her running-mate options. ......... “Josh was one of our earliest supporters in 2008 in Pennsylvania, when almost all the political establishment was with Hillary,” David Plouffe, who managed Mr. Obama’s campaign that year, said in a text message on Thursday. ........ Mr. Obama said the former president seeks to be a sounding board and confidant for Ms. Harris. ........... Among the likenesses: They both managed to end up with family dogs named “Bo.” And Mr. Shapiro’s cadence, rhythms and sometimes even hand gestures can seem so reminiscent of the former president’s that some people have started jokingly referring online to Mr. Shapiro, who is Jewish, as “Baruch Obama.”

Kamala Harris Surprises Everyone It makes for a good contrast to Donald Trump and JD Vance, where old and crazy chose to pair up with young and reckless. .......... The shooting was three weeks ago. Feels like a year. .......... Harris is a star, and Trump is a crazy person who claims he didn’t know Harris was Black. ........... Term-limiting the justices, as Biden has proposed, would almost certainly require a constitutional amendment. Not gonna happen. And who would enforce the ethical code? ..........

America would have long ago gone into demographic, economic, social and intellectual decline if it weren’t for all of the talented and ambitious people who came to our shores.

The key is to open the doors to legal immigration so that it can be easier to close the doors to illegal immigration and do it in a way that can sustain a political consensus.




Why Josh Shapiro Would Make Such a Difference for Kamala Harris

Thursday, August 01, 2024

Harris-Shapiro 2024





Donald Trump Dealt Quadruple Polling Blow Within 48 Hours
Trump's water bottle incident during NABJ interview leaves viewers baffled
In an attempt to reverse the Supreme Court's immunity decision, Schumer introduces the No Kings Act
Kamala Harris Running Mate Update as Contender Pulls Ahead of Pack PredictIt.org is selling shares in Shapiro receiving this accolade at 70¢ each, compared with 12¢ for Minnesota Governor Tim Walz and Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear, 9¢ for Arizona Senator Mark Kelly and 5¢ for Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg. Each PredictIt share is worth $1 if you guess the correct outcome, with shares selling at between 1¢ and 99¢ depending on the probability of an event taking place......... Harris is due to begin a tour of battleground states with a rally in Philadelphia on August 6, triggering speculation online she will use the occasion to announce the state's Governor Shapiro as her running mate.