Showing posts with label Biju Janata Dal. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Biju Janata Dal. Show all posts

Thursday, June 18, 2015

४% १०% १५%

English: Map of Africa indicating Gross Domest...
English: Map of Africa indicating Gross Domestic Product per capita. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
World map showing GDP real growth rates for 20...
World map showing GDP real growth rates for 2010. CIA world factbook estimateshttps://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/rankorder/2003rank.html as of Januay 2011. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
World map showing countries by nominal GDP per...
World map showing countries by nominal GDP per capita in 2008, IMF estimates as of April 2009. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
अमरिका ब्रिटेन जैसे देशो ने कभी १०% किया ही नहीं। वो तो ४-५ करते रहे, वही की दशकों शताब्दियों तक किया। Slow and steady wins the race.

४% से आपको doubling करने में अठारह साल लग जाएंगे। १०% से ७ साल और १५% से ५ साल। अब जरा हिसाब करो। कुछ मैंने यहाँ किया है। तो आज के भारत में ५% is failure rate ---- F for Five, F for Failure. जब कि आजादी के बाद ४० साल भारत ने ३% किया --- दुनिया में मजाक उड़ाया जाता था -- Hindu rate of growth कह कह के।

चीन ने जब १०% किया तो बहुतों ने कहा वे झुठ बोल रहे हैं ---- हम गोरों ने तो ५% से ज्यादा कभी किया नहीं, ये चीन के बन्दर ये तो जन्म से ही inferior लोग ये हमारे से ज्यादा कैसे कर सकते हैं?

वैसे डेंग श्याओ पिंग कोइ बहुत तीसमारखा नहीं था। साधारण सा आदमी था। लेकिन उसके पास common sense था, व्यवहारिक आदमी था, और वो इतना समझता था कि मेरे से भले अच्छाई हो ना हो मैं अपने से बुराई ना होने दुं। उसके उस attitude से सरकार के बीचमें आ जाने की बात कम होती गयी। उसने शुरू में एक ही तरकीब लगाई -- उसने कहा सबसे पहले सब जगह रेल की पटरी बिछाओ। बस इतना। भारत के तो कोने कोने में रेल की पटरी पहले से ही है और था --- चीन में नहीं था। तो डेंग श्याओ पिंग को शुरू में बहुत ज्यादा समझ नहीं थी लेकिन इतना जरूर था कि रेल चाहिए तब ही देश प्रगति करेगा। डेंग श्याओ पिंग से ज्यादा समझ और ज्यादा जानकारी तो भारत के प्रत्येक मुख्य मंत्री के पास है। जो जानकारी नहीं हो वो इंटरनेट से ले सकते हैं --- डेंग श्याओ पिंग के पास कौन सा इंटरनेट था?

अभी सारे दुनिया का GDP है ७७ ट्रिलियन ----- मैं भारत को २५६ ट्रिलियन तक पहुँचाने की बात कर रहा हुँ।



४% १०% १५%  ----- बहुत फर्क पड़ता है double digit growth rate से। सिर्फ GDP मत देखो, जनसंख्या भी देखो। मुख्य बात देखनी होती है Per Capita Income. नहीं तो गर्व करोगे कि अरे हम तो ब्रिटेन के लगभग बराबर हैं -- और वहाँ है कि लोग भुखे मर रहे हैं।

Bihar best performing state in terms of growth rate: Survey
India growing faster than China is like saying Bihar's growth quicker than Gujarat
The Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation released the GDP growth forecast for the current financial year a few days back. It expects the Indian economy to grow by 7.4 percent during the course of the year......This is significantly higher than the GDP growth of 5.5 percent forecast by the RBI. The ministry has moved on to a new method of calculating the GDP, which has led to this massive jump. In fact, in late January, the GDP growth for the last financial year (2013-2014) was revised to 6.9 percent using this new method. The GDP growth as per the old method had been at 5 percent. ...... India's GDP last year was $1.87 trillion. On this base it is expected to grow by 7.4 percent. China's GDP last year was almost five times larger at $9.24 trillion. So China has a significant larger GDP than that of India. Even if the Chinese GDP grows by 1.5 percent it would be adding as much to economic output as India would at 7.4 percent..... Only four times between 1980 and 2013, has the Indian GDP growth been faster than that of China. .... in 17 years during the period under consideration the Chinese economy has seen double digit growth rates. On the other hand the Indian economy has grown by greater than 10 percent only once since 1980. This was in 2010 when it grew by 10.3 percent. The Chinese managed to beat us even then by growing by 10.4 percent. ......... The gross state domestic product for Gujarat in 2012-13 (the latest data that is available and at 2004-05 constant prices) was at Rs 4,27,219 crore. It had grown at a rate of 7.96 percent in comparison to 2011-12. .. Now compare this to Bihar, where the gross state domestic product had grown by 10.73 percent in 2012-13, which was higher than the GDP growth rate of Gujarat. In fact, between 2006-07 and 2012-13, the economic growth rate of Bihar was higher than that of Gujarat, on five out of the total seven occasions......But the question is on what base? In 2012-2013, the gross state domestic product of Bihar stood at Rs 1,58,971 crore. As mentioned earlier the gross state domestic product of Gujarat was at Rs 4,27,219 crore or nearly 2.7 times. It is important to further point out that Gujarat has a population of 6.27 crore people and the population of Bihar is 9.9 crore. Hence, Bihar has been sharing a significantly lower GDP with a larger number of people. .... Like Bihar's economy has a long way to catch up to that of Gujarat, the same stands true of India's economy when compared to that of China.
Bihar best performing state in terms of growth rate: Survey
The survey also states that in terms of poverty estimates Bihar, which had the highest poverty headcount ratio (HCR) in 2004-05 moved to first place in 2011-12 with the HCR at 33.7 per cent relegating Odisha to second place.
Bihar records 11.95% growth, highest among states
Despite global economic slowdown and sagging domestic demand, Bihar has managed to record 11.95% annual growth rate, the highest among all the states, during the 11th Plan period. ..... But the state's per capita income of Rs 25,653 at current prices is still far behind the national average of Rs 60,972 in 2011-12. "Our gross state domestic product (GSDP) at 2004-05 prices is Rs 1.52 lakh crore which is estimated to rise to Rs 2.53 lakh crore at current prices in 2011-12," Modi said. ..... The problem of low income in Bihar is accentuated by considerable disparity across the districts in terms of their per capita income. In 2009-10, Patna, with per capita income of Rs 55,539, Munger with Rs18,669 and Bhagalpur with Rs14,396 have been the most prosperous districts whereas Sheohar has Rs 5,552, Madhepura (Rs 7.161) and Supaul (Rs 7,213) remained at the bottom. ...... Modi said the state government had an outstanding debt of Rs 44,475 crore in 2007-08, which is 39% of its GSDP. By 2011-12, it declined substantially to 24% even though the outstanding debt increased to Rs 60,551 crore. Incidentally, it was 53% in 2001-02. ..... growth in the state's own tax revenue, increasing from Rs 5,086 crore in 2007-08 to Rs 12,612 crore in 2011-12. The non-tax revenue has jumped from Rs 526 crore to Rs 890 crore during the same period. "The state's own tax revenue has increased to 4.99% of the GSDP," said principal finance secretary Rameshwar Singh. ....... "The image of Bihar has undergone a change in recent years, thanks to high growth rate of its economy and accompanying developments in social sectors. This was made possible primarily through the efforts of the state government which utilized its limited resources in a prudent manner," said Modi. ..... In agriculture sector, the production of cereals in 2011-12 was 172 lakh tonnes, compared to 104 lakh tonnes in previous fiscal. The production of rice increased to a new high of 8.2 million tonnes against 3.1 million tonnes in 2010-11. The use of 'Sri' technique was an important factor in the bumper rice production.
No NDA-Pappu Yadav alliance in Bihar: Min
The minister further said that the growth rate of Bihar had declined from

16%

to 8% ever since the BJP walked out of Nitish government two years back. "Jungle Raj is returned. Nitish is indulging in lies to mislead the Bihar people," he said adding that BJP had a number of able leaders from which a CM would be elected after the results of Bihar polls," he said.
Economy of Bihar
As of 2012, agriculture accounts for 22%, industry 5% and service 73% of the economy of the state ..... Bihar has the lowest GDP per capita in India but there are pockets of higher per capita income like the southern half of the state and its capital city, Patna, had per capita income greater than that of Bangalore or Hyderabad in 2008 .... $59.4 billion nominal GDP .... in June 2009, the World Bank reported that Patna was the second best city in India to start a business, after Delhi ...... in January 2010, the Indian government's Central Statistics Organisation reported that in the five-year period between 2004–2005 and 2008–09, Bihar's GDP grew by 11.03%, which made Bihar the second fastest growing economy in India during that 5 year period, just behind Gujarat's growth of 11.05%
World Bank lauds Bihar's high growth rate

Bihar clocked highest growth rate of 16.71 per cent during 2011-12

, as per Economic Survey presented in Parliament today. Bihar's growth rate was followed by Madhya Pradesh and Maharashtra during the period ...... Kumar told the World Bank official that the state had earlier planned to link villages with a population of 500 and more with metallic road but now under Mukhyamantri Gram Sadak Yojna, village and localities with a population of 250 have been provided all weather metallic roads. ....... The CM said there are 8,400 panchayats in Bihar out of which in 250 places Panchayat building has been done with assistance from the World Bank.






At 11.44%, Bihar is India's fastest growing state
Among the 18 states and Union Territories of which data is available, Bihar recorded the highest State Gross Domestic Product (SGDP) in a year when the global financial meltdown pulled down country's economic growth rate to 6.7 per cent from 9 per cent...... Bihar even set a record of sorts during 2006-07 by clocking a 22 per cent SGDP, an indicator of the economic activity in the state. .... Commenting on the GDP numbers of Bihar's Deputy Chief Minister Sushil Kumar Modi had said on Sunday that "Bihar is the new miracle economy of the country." ...... Modi had said in a statement that the state witnessed 5.15 per cent negative growth during 2003-04, under the rule of RJD, when Rabri Devi was the chief minister, adding this high growth had been achieved under the regime of Nitish Kumar who took over the reins on November 25, 2005, he said. ...... The achievement has proved beyond doubt that good governance could work miracles even for a most backward state like Bihar, he had added. ....... Bihar Chief Minister Nitish Kumar said in Patna that sweeping economic reforms undertaken by his government and increased agricultural production have enabled the state to achieve a growth rate of 11.03 per cent during the period between 2004-05 and 2008-09 .......... "Improved law and order situation has attracted industrialists to invest in the state contributing to its economic growth," Kumar told reporters at his Janata Darbar. ....... Bihar was the fastest growing state with a cool 11.03 per cent GDP during the period between 2004-05 and 2008-09, a tad below Gujarat with 11.05 per cent. ...... Seeking Central help to further the development of the state, Kumar said if special category status is granted to the state, Bihar will do wonders as several entrepreneurs come to the state to avail of tax concession under this. ...... The Centre should immediately clear Rs 14,880-crore (Rs 148.80 billion) special package sought by the state for infrastructure development in the five districts ravaged by the Kosi deluge in 2008, the chief minister said. ...... Referring to the opposition's tirade for on the economic status of the state, Kumar said even Nobel laureate Amartya Sen showered praised his development works. ..... The Bihar chief minister said the Centre should compensate the money spent for the flood relief in 2007...... Accusing the Centre of creating hurdles in the state's endeavour for industrial development, Kumar said the Centre was sitting over for the past two years on the amended bill on the Bihar Sugarcane (Purchase and Supply) Regulation Act of 1981 to produce ethanol from sugar cane........He said the Bill was sent to the Centre in April 2007, but the state is yet to get response till date, blocking several investment proposals in the sugarcane sector........"I am hopeful that the Centre will react positively to state's demands and a petition with 1 crore (10 million) signatures will be submitted soon demanding special category status to Bihar," he said.

Tuesday, May 05, 2015

Biju Janata Dal And The Land Bill

I kind of like the BJD proposed amendment. Not only it makes political arithmetic sense, it also plain makes logical sense.

मोदी का Land Acquisition
Trying Hard To Understand The Nitish Viewpoint On Land Acquisition
Land Acquisition: मोदी माँग रहे है तो दे दो
Land Acquisition Bill: The Details
Modi Should Be Allowed Land Acquisition



मैं समझने की कोशिश कर रहा हुँ। नवीन कह रहे हैं ---- आप किसान हैं, आप के पास जमीन है, उसका बाजार में भाव ५ लाख है, तो फैक्ट्री बिठाने के हिसाब से कोइ आएंगे तो वो उस जमीन को १५ लाख में खरीदेंगे --- ये मोदी कह रहे हैं ---- नवीन कह रहे हैं, पैसा दो १० लाख, बाँकी के ५ लाख के उसी फैक्ट्री में शेयर दो। ये कोइ बुरा सुझाव नहीं है। ऐसा नहीं हो सकता कि ये फैसला किसान पर छोड़ दो? वो चाहे तो १५ का १५ नगद ले ले --- या १० का नगद और ५ लाख का शेयर ले ले।

Land bill jolt to govt: BJD opposes, AIADMK may follow suit
The Centre’s hopes to pass the contentious land bill took another hit as Naveen Patnaik’s Biju Janta Dal (BJD), a party that had earlier supported many government legislations, unequivocally announced on Saturday that it would oppose the bill. ..... J Jayalalitha’s AIADMK, the second-largest party in the Opposition camp after the Congress, is also “inclined to oppose” the land bill that has led different Opposition parties to join hands to dub the government as “anti-farmer”. ...... “We had welcomed the land bill in Lok Sabha. We even said we are happy with it. But happiness doesn’t mean that we will support it. We will oppose the land bill when it comes in Parliament,” Bhartruhari Mahtab, BJD’s Lok Sabha wing chief ...... If the BJD and the AIADMK joins the Opposition ranks against the bill, the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) -- even with the help from an array of fence-sitters like the BSP and the NCP -- would not be able to reach the majority mark of 123 in the 244-strong Rajya Sabha. The Opposition strength, including the SP, BJD and the AIADMK, stands at 148, while the entire the NDA is just 69. ...... The BJP is 66 MPs short of majority in a Joint Session of both Houses of Parliament. The Congress has already waged a war against the bill that would make it easier to acquire land for crucial infrastructure projects. ....... The proposed bill exempts projects related to defence, rural housing and power, along with industrial corridors, from the requirement that 80% of the affected landowners must agree to a sale. ...... The stand of the BJD may come as a rude jolt for the government as it had incorporated as many as four demands of the Odisha-based party through amendments to the original bill
We will back land bill if Centre make changes: BJD
the BJD opposed the land acquisition ordinance as it demanded that the land losers should have a stake in projects for which their land is acquired
Land Bill: Government mulls joint session in parliament for legislation as some parties change stance
BJD had walked out of the Lok Sabha the last time the bill was debated, after the government accepted four of nine amendments the party had proposed. ...... "Four of our amendments were accepted but we want an important amendment, giving a stake to landholders in any economic enterprise accruing from acquired land, to be accepted" ...... It has been liaising with 'like-minded parties' Trinamool, AIADMK and the Left to push for the amendment." ..... BJD has 20 MPs in the Lok Sabha. By voting against the bill in both the Houses, BJD may push the government into calling a joint sitting of both the Houses. ..... That appears to be the only way of getting the bill cleared quickly, something the Modi administration wants to achieve as a mark of its ability to get cracking on reform. "If we get stuck on this, so early in our tenure, it will derail everything. Time is of essence," said a senior Cabinet minister. ..... Determined to clear the land bill, the government apparently sees a joint sitting as the only way out.
Jairam Ramesh Sees Secret BJP-BJD Deal on Land Bill
Explaining reasons behind Congress’ opposition to proposed changes in Land Acquisition Act, Ramesh said there were guidelines in the existing law that the Government would return the acquired land if it is lying unused for five years. However, there is no such system in the new law, he pointed out....... Similarly, the mandatory “consent” clause and Social Impact Assessment (SIA) will not be in the new Bill where ownership of land continues to be vested with the Government, he said....... Ramesh said that while the original Act has provision of securing the consent of 80 per cent affected people before land acquisition, the new law will abolish the provision.
Congress wants BJD to oppose land acquisition bill
Centre deciphering Opposition strategy to pass land bill
Amidst indications that the Modi regime would explore the option of a joint Sitting of both houses of Parliament as a last resort for the passage of the land acqusition bill, there are apprehensions within the government that this is easier said than done. ....... The government is keeping an eye on all possible strategies that the Opposition could consider for stalling the bill's passage or rejection in the Rajya Sabha ...... The government was hoping that parties like the Samajwadi Party, BJD and AIADMK, which run state governments, would warm up to the bill. However, with the Janata Parivar merger, the SP may find it difficult to take a stand which is not in line with its allies — the JD(U) and RJD, which are likely to use the bill to target the BJP ahead of the Bihar elections. ...... The Samajwadi Party has 15 MPs, the AIADMK 11 and BJD 7 in the Rajya Sabha. Senior ministers have been reaching out to parties as part of an exercise to garner support for the legislation ...... Parties which may not take an unbending stand against the bill are waiting to see if the government will bring in more changes. "We are expecting more amendments to the bill.

We want the land owner to be made a share holder in economic activity for which the land is acquired

," said BJD's B Mahtab. The government has been arguing that compensation was left to the state government. ........If the Shiv Sena, which had abstained from voting in Lok Sabha, backs the government, the NDA's numbers add up to 395 in a joint sitting of nearly 760 members. However, according to sources, the government is unlikely to act in haste and may focus on bills like GST and black money before taking up the contentious land bill. ........ the Congress launched a website called "zameenwapsi.com" as part of its agitation against the bill.

Tuesday, November 11, 2014

A Unified Janata Dal Could Become Bigger Than The Congress

But this can not be like Yahoo and Bing getting together to take on Google. There is only one real way to compete with Modi, and that is with development. Mandal-Kamandal is old school. That is not going to work against Modi. He is himself a Mandal category leader. Only Nitish, among all in the Opposition, is equipped to compete with Modi on development. But he has not been able to articulate his Nitishism. Development can not happen in Bihar because Nitish is at the helm, it also has to happen in other states because the party practices a well articulated Nitishism.

It is to be noted though that the one member of the family still in a good shape, the guy in Orissa, was missing from the picture.



Socialist parties in talks to merge; Nitish likely to lead
SP, JD(U), RJD, JD(S), INLD and Samajwadi Janata Party ..... Though the meeting was convened at Mulayam’s official residence here, there are indications that Nitish may be the axis of the alliance. .... Ajit Singh’s RLD and Navin Patnaik’s BJD, however, were absent from the meeting. ...... Nitish did not rule out even the merger of these parties in the future. He, however, said at present the parties will work together with the principle of unity against the BJP. When asked about a possible alliance with the Congress, he said they did not talk about the Congress in the meeting. ...... unemployment has increased under the Narendra Modi regime. “They said they will create crores of jobs in one year. ..... The parties are facing stiff opposition from the BJP at the ground. The INLD, which was hoping to form the government in Haryana, had to go to the Opposition benches again for the third term
Nitish Kumar Hints At 'One Single Party' After Meeting Mulayam, Lalu
emerged not talk of a third front, but the hint that the "Janata parivar" could come together to form a party in the future. ...... the absence of the Left. .... Together the parties that met today have 15 Lok Sabha seats. But in the Rajya Sabha, they have 25
Janata Parivar meets, merger on the cards
“There is a strong possibility we might merge and form one party,” says Nitish ..... during the discussions the Janata Parivar leaders agreed that it was imperative that they came together as the Congress had all but vacated the Opposition space .... on key economic issues, such as the Insurance Bill, the BJP and the Congress were usually together. ..... If a merger does take place, it is likely to be followed by the formation of a joint platform with other regional parties
No decision yet on joining Janata parivar, says Patnaik
He also said that his party would remain equidistant from the Congress and BJP. ..... Patnaik indirectly indicated that the ongoing Central Bureau of Investigation probe into the chit fund scam was politically motivated. .... A BJD MP and a legislator were arrested by the central agency for their alleged complicity in the multi-thousand-crore-rupee chit fund scam. .... Patnaik, however, said that it was their personal matter. “The government or the party has nothing to do with it. The truth will come out,” he said.
Why the Lalu-Mulayam-Nitish alliance may turn out to be a lemon
Like drunks propping each other up, the new Lalu Prasad-Mulayam Singh-Nitish Kumar-Deve Gowda alliance against Narendra Modi is unlikely to hold together for long. .... Their message is "naya saal, nayi party". .... The core of the proposed alliance is thus Lalu, Mulayam and Nitish, who run relatively strong parties built on an OBC base across the two of the biggest states in the Hindi heartland – Uttar Pradesh and Bihar, with 120 Lok Sabha seats between them. This is where Narendra Modi comprehensively defeated them in May 2014. ...... It is best to designate the Lalu-Mulayam-Nitish get-together as the Lemon alliance – an acronym derived from their initials LMN, which could also be an SMS short-form for Lemon. ..... It has all of 15 MPs in parliament, including ILND’s two, and hardly in a position to take on the BJP. ..... While caste combos will continue to play a subtle role in all elections, the fact is people are breaking out of old straitjackets. Caste arithmetic will not add up as easily in future. ...... a negative alliance against Modi will only work if there is strong anti-incumbency or if the alliance itself has a strong message of hope. But, if anything, it is the Samajwadi Party and the Janata Dal (United) that face an anti-incumbency mood in their states - after five years and 10 years of rule in UP and Bihar. Modi will be leading a party which will harness this anti-incumbency, if any, in 2017 and 2015. ...... modern elections are turning presidential. ...... In this department, Modi is head and shoulders above the Lemon alliance, especially given their know suspicions about each other. Lalu and Mulayam vowed to fight all elections together in 2009, but after being outshone by the Congress in UP and Bihar, they barely combined for anything. Lalu and Nitish were sworn enemies till last year. ..... The electorate is wise to these opportunistic groupings. It knows what happened to such khichdi alliances in 1997 and 1989. ..... two of the alliance leaders are fit for the geriatric ward, and two are jailbirds, convicted for corruption. Mulayam Singh is 75 and doddering, and Deve Gowda is 81. Lalu is a convicted criminal and so is INLD’s Chautala. That leaves Nitish, 63, as a young knight in shining armour. One more defeat and he too will be consigned to the dustbin of history ..... what Mayawati may be upto with the Congress - not left out of the OBC party. If it's a three-horse coalition race the next time, the advantage may still remain with the most coherent alliance of them all - the BJP's. ..... By 2019, the economy could be into overdrive. Even without heroic reforms by the Modi government, the economic tide will turn, making anti-incumbency a difficult platform from which to take on Modi in 2019. In 2009, five years of a booming economy helped the Congress to coast to victory with 206 seats.



Saturday, June 07, 2014

The Federal Front Is A Great Idea

English: Trinamool Congress chief Mamata Baner...
English: Trinamool Congress chief Mamata Banerjee attends a news conference in the eastern Indian city of Kolkata September 7, 2008. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)


If and when Modi's time is up, it will be someone from the Federal Front who will take over. That is what I foresee. And so step one perhaps is a Federal Front leading the opposition.

AIADMK 37
Trinamool Congress 34
Biju Janata Dal 20

That alone is 91.

Telangana Rashtra Samiti 11

That takes it past 100, which is double whatever the Congress can muster.

Credit goes to Mamata for coining the term.

There is a real role in the Upper House for this Front.

The BJP grew almost entirely at the expense of the Congress. The BJP did not eat much into the votes of the non-Congress, non-BJP parties which together get as many votes as the Congress and the BJP combined. That is grounds for a pre-poll formal, structured alliance.

You broker peace between Mulayam and Mayawati and you get Uttar Pradesh, you broker peace between Nitish and Laloo and you get Bihar. Delhi goes to whoever gets the Hindi heartland.

But right now my bet is the BJP will also form the state government in Uttar Pradesh in a few years. Bihar, I don't know. I don't know what Nitish has on his mind. I think he would like to fight solo and sweep Bihar like his colleagues Mamata, Jayalalita and Patnaik.

Regional parties may form ‘federal front’, isolate Congress in Parliament
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