Thursday, February 12, 2009

Stimulus: Make It A Trillion



Stimulus: Size Matters

It was not the big spending of the New Deal that brought the Great Depression to an end, it was the massive deficit spending of World War II. We forget. A do nothing government would be suicide. A do little government would be foolhardy. This is the time to err on the side of doing much. Little will be late soon enough. So the idea that there are politicians who are trying to bring the stimulus down to 800 billion from 820 billion, I find ridiculous. This is slavery to ideology, not to reality, not even crisis reality. The house is on fire, do not ration water.

A crisis is also a time for reinvention. This is a time for America and the world to reinvent itself. The bailout package in America's chance to draw a new financial architecture, for itself and for the world, a new architecture that is fully transparent, fully accountable, and fully global. The toxic assets are bad news. Many banks will go down the tube. Many banks will lose big money. But then the toxic assets never really fell in the category of wealth creation. Sooner or later that truth was going to emerge. Now is that time. It is time for the banks to clean up the slate and start afresh in the banking business. Go back to the fundamentals. Banks take money, banks lend out money.

https://twitter.com/paramendra/status/1205593499
http://baselinescenario.com

Constructing new schools was my favorite item in the stimulus package, and they took it out! Put that back in. Build new schools. Every child in America should be getting educated in 21st century schools.



This stimulus package is step one to America becoming a full-fledged knowledge economy. Don't take it from 820 billion to 800 billion. Take it from 820 billion to 900 billion. Put 20 billion down for new schools. Put another 30 billion for broadband. ($6 Billion For Wireless Broadband: Too Little) Put 30 billion down for health care. Make it 900.

And talk to the world. The three biggies are all inter-related. (Global Finance, Global Terrorism, Global Warming) America got itself a Global President, now it needs to get itself Global Solutions to Global Problems. Talk to the world. Work with the world.

Slumdog Millionaire



In The News

Big goals and hurdles await Obama The Associated Press
Barack Obama, playing in Peoria
Los Angeles Times, CA
Gregg says he can help Obama while in Senate
The Associated Pres
Obama to promote stimulus plan in Denver, Phoenix
The Associated Press
The Barack Obama Florida Town Hall Moment Showed He Gets the ...
U.S. News & World Report, DC
Vegas mayor tells Obama his comments harmed city
The Associated Press
Obama's outreach to GOP govs has its limits The Associated Press
Obama pushes stimulus with hard-hit Americans
Washington Post, United States

Historians See Parallels Between Lincoln and Obama Voice of America
Judd Gregg Withdraws as Commerce Nominee
New York Times
No US timetable to remove Nepal Maoists' terror tag Reuters
Obama returns home for final stimulus plan push
CNN International
Big goals and hurdles await Obama
The Associated Press
Obama's Financial Rescue Plan
Voice of America
Obama vows Zardari of ‘strong partnership’
Daily Times
HER TRIP: Clinton is the first secretary of State since the 1960s ...
Christian Science Monitor
Is Hillary Clinton Dissing China And Slighting Europe? Deutsche Welle
Egypt says Clinton will attend conference on Gaza
Reuters
Left parties to contest 33 Lok Sabha seats in Bihar Hindu
Gandhiji's sandals, glasses to be auctioned in New York Hindu
Analysis: Why Tzipi keeps running
Jerusalem Post
With Israeli vote count final, party negotiations intensify Christian Science Monitor
Hamas 'set for truce with Israel' BBC News
Hamas Agrees to Long-Term Truce Deal with Israel over Gaza Strip FOXNews
Official: Economic crisis tops list of US threats
The Associated Press
US judges admit to jailing children for money Reuters
President says China to increase aid, cancel debts for Africa Xinhua
Hu tour deepens China-Africa trade, investment ties Reuters UK
Sprint to launch WiMax phone in 2010 that may run on Android
Computerworld
WiMAX coverage to reach 800 million by 2010 NetworkWorld.com
40 job cuts as Google exits broadcast radio ad business
AFP
Google Power Meter Analyzes Home Energy Consumption PC World
UMPC makers urged to add WiMAX, 3G cellular feature Manila Bulletin
mocoNews.net - WiMax To Cover 800 Million By 2010: WiMax Forum Washington Post
Amitabh and Anil patch-up at premiere Times of India
Ash refuses French award NDTV.com
Crash of US, Russian satellites a threat in space The Associated Press
Darwin on a Godless Creation: "It's like confessing to a murder" Scientific American
'The International' banks on style, Clive Owen's star power USA Today

Senate Approves Stimulus and Begins Intense Talks New York Times
Michelle Obama on the cover of Vogue Christian Science Monitor
Recovery package clears key Senate hurdle
Washington Post
Haggling begins on final US stimulus plan Reuters
In Israeli Vote Results, A Setback for Obama
Washington Post
Kadima and Likud claim victory in Israel pollsguardian.co.uk
Too early? Kadima throws 'victory party' Jerusalem Post
US bailout plan: $2.5 trillion and a strong hand International Herald Tribune
Kindle's New Challenger Brings E-Books to iPhones PC World
More than 49 million watch Obama news conference Reuters
Obama bailout, stimulus plans show depth of crisis
International Herald Tribune
Jindal concerned about stimulus plan in Congress WDAM-TV
Investors and economists rail against Obama bailout plan Independent
Obama sees no easy out for banks Reuters UK
Obama Paints America's Choice as His Plan or Nothing Washington Post
Al-Qaeda warns India: Hands off Pak or else Indian Express
Iran offers 'dialogue with respect' with US
International Herald Tribune
Cisco Goes Where No WiMax Has Gone Before Motley Fool
Cisco Rolls with WiMAX Wireless Week
Central Asian countries roll with Cisco's WiMAX system SmartBrief
WiMax’s last best hope CNNMoney.com
Amitabh Bachchan to play superstar in autobiographical film `The ... Spicezee
Hollywood comes knocking on Big B's door Times of India
Rob Cohen to bring Amitabh, De Niro in a 300 crores extravaganza Spicezee
Sirius preparing possible bankruptcy filing: report Reuters
Dell Announces Pocketable Wasabi Photo Printer PC Magazine
Hundreds of TV Stations to Proceed With Digital TV Switch Washington Post

Republicans Choose First Black Party Chairman New York Times
Steele becomes first African-American RNC chairman CNN
Republicans name an African American as their party chairman Christian Science Monitor
US economy shrinking at fastest pace since 1982 guardian.co.uk
Republicans seek new leader to launch fightback guardian.co.uk
Obama finds that partisanship still lives in Washington
The Miami Herald
Michelle Obama’s Balancing Act
New York Times
Grim growth data an economic 'disaster': Obama
AFP
Curiosity Over Clinton’s Itinerary
New York Times
Analysis: Stimulus bill that's not all stimulating
The Associated Press
Tsvangirai Secures Party Backing To Join Zimbabwe Unity Government
Voice of America
Fears over Sri Lanka war children
BBC News
Protectionism may lead to depression, India warns rich nations
Press Trust of India
'Palestine Today Is an Open-Air Prison' Washington Post
A Calmer Iraq Prepares for Another Try at Ballot
New York Times
Nortel getting out of WiMAX
Bizjournals.com
Five Reasons Dell Should Leave Smartphones Alone
ChannelWeb
Dell could join Acer in unveiling smart phone Computerworld

Stimulus Plan Would Provide Flood of Aid to Education NYT
On Arab TV Network, Obama Urges Dialogue
Aides Say Obama’s Afghan Aims Elevate War
Obama, Visiting G.O.P. Lawmakers, Is Open to Some Compromise on Stimulus
F.D.R’s Example Offers Lessons for Obama
Layoffs Spread to More Sectors of the Economy
Advertising: Teaching Teenagers About Harassment
Everybody's Business: Deep in Debt, and Now Deep in Worry
Economic View: Six Errors on the Path to the Financial Crisis
News Analysis: Nationalization Gets a New, Serious Look

Clinton snubs woman chosen to replace her in Senate Sydney Morning Herald "Caroline Kennedy called me on Wednesday and said that for personal reasons she had chosen to withdraw. "She had got no signal from me that she had to withdraw. She got no indication that she wouldn't be selected."
Obama: 'Rigid Ideology Has Overruled Sound Science'
ABC News
Obama begins reversing Bush climate policies Reuters
Dowries banned by Nepal Sydney Morning Herald
Obama in his first big face-off with Republicans over stimulus Reuters
LJP finalises on LS seats in Bihar sans other UPA parties Press Trust of India
EU: Goodwill, But No Help For Obama On Guantanamo Yet RadioFreeEurope/RadioLiberty
Iceland's government topples amid financial mess
The Associated Press
Nokia axes N810 WiMax Edition Internet Tablet CNET Newsprobably because there's not as much WiMax penetration as would be needed ........ compatible with Clearwire's WiMax system and fits somewhere between an iPhone and a Netbook in an interesting niche that might explode this year. ....... rumors that both Microsoft and Apple are working on similar devices (Microsoft's based on the Surface technology; Apple's a blown-up version of the iPod Touch), but it's still too early to say that such devices--if they ever exist--will use WiMax.
Google Finds Spam Volume Bouncing Back InformationWeek
Few Free Books in the Google Library Wall Street Journal
Times Writer Says Google Book Search Deal Has Monopoly Potential eWeek
Verizon Adds Femtocell for Better Home Cell Calls PC Magazine
Paramedic charged in Travolta extortion plot The Associated Press




Thursday, February 05, 2009

Stimulus: Size Matters



(photo courtesy a Facebook friend of mine, no, she is not American)
The Obama Message Shift Time Gone is the warm and fuzzy talk about how everything is on track and Washington can get along at bipartisan White House cocktail parties. In is the tough talk about how members of Congress--particularly Republicans--have to stop bickering and threatening delay, and get something done. .............. In the last few days, we've seen proposals arise from some in Congress that you may not have read, but you'd be very familiar with, because you've been hearing them for the last 10 years, maybe longer. They're rooted in the idea that tax cuts alone can solve all our problems, that government doesn't have a role to play, that half- measures and tinkering are somehow enough, that we can afford to ignore our most fundamental economic challenges: the crushing cost of health care, the inadequate state of so many of our schools, our dangerous dependence on foreign oil. ............... Those ideas have been tested, and they have failed. They've taken us from surpluses to an annual deficit of over $1 trillion. And they've brought our economy to a halt. And that's precisely what the election we just had was all about. The American people have rendered their judgment, and now's the time to move forward, not back. Now's the time for action.
The idea behind deficit spending to get an economy out of a recession goes back to Keynes and FDR, it is another thing that it is said when the two met they did not much like each other, kind of like Newt Gingrich and Bill Gates, when they met, they did not much like each other, there was no talk.

Before Keynes the orthodoxy was only someone stupid would spend money they don't have. Going into debt was not what wise people did.

The American economy really only turned around after the monstrously massive deficit spending that World War II forced the country into. Otherwise the recession of the 1930s was a deep ditch. We don't call it a recession, it was a depression. It was a major flunk.

The American economy today does not have a 30% unemployment rate, so this is not a depression, not yet. But then a recession mishandled is a depression. Don't count it out yet. This is the financial SARS virus that America has already exported all over the world. The entire global economy is sneezing.

If mishandled, this downturn could hit a tipping point, and then there would be no turning point. It would go downhill from there. At that point a trillion dollar jolt is going to feel like something on the cheap.

What the American economy has is a cardiac arrest. And it needs a jolt. That is why size matters. Reducing the size of the stimulus is exactly the bad idea. And you can't do it in steps. A jolt has to be one big step. Spending a trillion $100 billion a year over 10 years would be too lukewarm. It would not be a jolt, and hence not a stimulus.

The stimulus has to be announced with a bang, not a whimper. It has to be implemented with a bang. It has to be followed through with a bang.

There is an urgent need for a new global financial architecture. That is the number one lesson. But it will be much easier to shape that new architecture if the US economy is not in the bad shape it is in right now, if the world economy is feeling some upswing.

This is not a recession that comes once every 10 years or so. This is something that happens once or twice a century, once every 70 years or so. This is big. This asks for a big dose of medicine.

This is the time to think big, and engage in massive spending programs, massive infrastructure programs.


Obama Bank Pay Ceiling Would Make Many CEOs Stoop CNNMoney.com
Obama limits bailed-out bank CEO pay MarketWatch
Obama Caps Exec Pay For Bailout Firms U.S. News & World Report
Obama Turns Up Heat, Slams GOP Ideas
Wall Street Journal
Obama: Economy faces catastrophe without stimulus Reuters Obama spoke as the Democratic-led Senate abruptly halted debate on a $920 billion version of the plan on Thursday night. ..... his critics were offering "tired arguments" for economic solutions that emphasized tax cuts for well-off families. ...... don't come to the table with the same tired arguments and worn ideas that helped to create this crisis ...... "If we do not move swiftly to sign the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act into law, an economy that is already in crisis will be faced with catastrophe," Obama said. ..... "We are not going to get relief by turning back to the very same policies that for the last eight years doubled the national debt and threw our economy into a tailspin," he said.
President Obama Enters the Chaos Zone
FOXNews
With Daschle out, Obama should make Romney the healthcare-reform czar Christian Science Monitor
AP Says It Owns Image Used in Obama Poster
New York Times, United States
Copyright battle over Obama image BBC News
Associated Press wants money from Obama artist Christian Science Monitor
Afghanistan Appeal May Temper European Allies' Ardor for Obama Washington Post, United States
Obama Sets More Modest Goals For Afghanistan NPR
'Finish the job' in Afghanistan? Where do we begin? Los Angeles Times
Op-Ed Contributor Afghan Supplies, Russian Demands New York Times
Obama upholds Bush faith policy
Los Angeles Times, CA
Obama creates faith-based office with wide mission The Associated Press
Obama is right to object to ‘Buy American’ provisions Kansas City Star, MO
McCain looks to nix ‘buy American’ from Obama stimulus Bizjournals.com
Reject 'Buy American' clause or risk a trade war Salt Lake Tribune
Obama Bows to EU Demands on Stimulus The New American
Obama CIA pick may back 'limited' abuse prosecution Reuters
Obama's pick for CIA chief says he wants answers The Associated Press
Panetta says he would end harsh CIA interrogation tactics San Jose Mercury News
Cold warrior Henry Kissinger woos Russia for Barack Obama Telegraph.co.uk, United Kingdom
Obama admin. seeks treaty to cut US, Russia nukes The Associated Press
Russia, US pledge closer cooperation under Obama MSNBC
Obama’s First Ride on Marine One New York Times, United States
Obama says White House and Congress 'in range' The Associated Press
Obama Goes Airborne Today For First Time As President CBS News
Obama takes first ride on 'spiffy' Air Force One AFP


Howard Dean For Health And Human Services Secretary



Howard Dean Was Grassroots 1.0, Barack Is Grassroots 2.0
  1. President Clinton as president described then Governor Dean as the best Governor in the nation when it came to health care.
  2. Howard Dean is a doctor. We need a doctor in the house.
  3. A doctor or two. His wife is also a doctor.
  4. Barack was a Deaniac in 2004, so was I. I came to Barack by way of Dean.
  5. Howard Dean authored the 50 state strategy. It delivered in 2006, it delivered in 2008. He was great as DNC Chair. If he had won the primary in 2004, he would have won the general.
  6. Howard Dean was the original anti-war candidate.



Howard Dean Should Have Been Obama’s Pick All Along Truthdig, United States Within a week of Obama’s winning the presidential election, Dean’s name began to circulate as a top contender for the job. Dean is a physician, a former family practitioner in fact, and during his 11-year tenure as governor of Vermont, health care and other welfare-related reforms were a priority. ........ Dean became imprinted on the national consciousness when he surged to the head of the pack during his run for the 2004 Democratic presidential nomination by playing the angry anti-war candidate. His novel use of the Internet to raise funds and organize supporters produced a meteoric rise in the polls. ........ I lived in Vermont for nearly all of Dean’s 11 years as governor. The 2004 presidential contender who whipped crowds of young voters into frenzies with his bracing oratory was someone we had not seen before. ....... Though Dean can be famously argumentative, he is not known as a politician who holds grudges. As governor, he’d fight like mad for an initiative he believed in but on the next issue of importance could work with those who had just opposed him. ...... He served much longer as chief executive of a state with a fixed budget and very real health and human services responsibilities, and his track record in that capacity should count for much. ........ “When Dean left office in early 2003, most states were in dire financial shape, their revenues hammered by the collapse of the dot-com economy. Vermont, by contrast, had a comfortable surplus, thanks largely to Dean.” ......... “The only real exception to rigid budget discipline was health care. … This did stretch the budget some, but those costs were offset somewhat by increased tobacco taxes.” ....... Dean “for the first time pushed governmental health care coverage out beyond the welfare population to working people who did not qualify for Medicaid.” ......... “Government observers in Vermont usually cite two highlights among Dean’s accomplishments in office: tight budget management of the state’s economy, and Success by Six, an effort to link early education programs to social services. … Dean, perhaps because of his medical training, demanded measured results.” ........ “One of my most persistent activities during the early ’90s,” recalled Glenn Gershaneck, who was Dean’s press secretary before eventually heading the state Transportation Agency, “was trying to fend off the more liberal wing of the Democratic Party. The will to spend money always exceeded the resources available, and the push to spend came mostly from the left.” ....... Dean’s strained relationship with Obama’s White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel, with whom he famously clashed over strategy during the 2006 midterm election—Emanuel wanted DNC money to be targeted where it could help Democratic congressional candidates win immediately while Dean was intent on a long-range plan to build party infrastructures in all 50 states ....... But just as presidential candidate Dean paved the way for now-President Obama’s use of the Internet as a campaign tool, it was DNC Chairman Dean whose 50-state strategy helped candidate Obama keep John McCain on the defensive in traditional red states. ....... Dean was a true Washington outsider who took over a broken political machine and achieved astonishing results. ....... Dean’s proven strengths—his medical training and his ability to work within budgets, to name just two. And no one could bring more passion to the job ...... imagine the damage that could result from an effort led by a career politician with no understanding of the dynamics at play in our health care system, let alone the human organism ...... After so many years of fruitless rhetoric by politicians, why not let a medical doctor with proven success as a political operative and a record for plain talk and common sense have a chance? ....... As governor, he made advances in the area of health and welfare by gaining support for initiatives such as health insurance for children and prenatal care and other preventive wellness measures that cost relatively little and offered long-term savings and sustainability.
Why not Howard Dean for Sec. of Health and Human Services? Capitol Hill Blue
Howard Dean for HHS or Health Czar The Young Turks
Chris Matthews: Howard Dean should replace Daschle Raw Story
Dean For HHS Gains Momentum
Atlantic Online
My Suggestion to Obama: Drop Daschle--Choose Howard Dean Gather.com, MA
Dump Daschle - Howard Dean for Health and Human Services
Beliefnet.com, NY