Wednesday, April 01, 2020

The Virus And The Politicians



Something that is the Great Depression and World War II combined is going to be a tall task for anybody, let alone mediocre politicians elected to high office, but the scale and rapidity of the spread of this pandemic, now virtually gone to all countries and spreading fast still has particularly exposed deficiencies in leadership, both of individuals and political systems. This is no argument against democracy, for South Korea seems to have done pretty well so far. It is said the genius of the US constitution is that even an idiot can run the country. I never fully bought into that.

But those who doubted Trump's ability to deliver from the get-go now find themselves uncomfortably with front seats to the unfolding tragedy. And Trump is not alone. There is this guy in Brazil basically inciting riots. He is a Trump clone. Modi's three weeks closing down of the country was not a bad idea, but the implementation was so shoddy, there was no implementation, there was just an announcement; as if the demonetization disaster was not enough. India finds itself with crowds of people moving around reminding many of a similar phenomenon during partition. Instead of being inside homes, people are clogging the roads.

The NYC Mayor has been missing in action while he takes to the cameras like he were some opposition leader demanding action. NYC has become Italy and it still is not seeing lockdown.

It is always easier when you are not actually running a country. Former British Prime Minister Gordon Brown went on record asking to set up a world government from scratch. That is the most sense any politician has made during this pandemic so far. Gordon Brown should rally as many former heads of state as possible to the idea and make it happen.

Angela Merkel is a chemist by training. And it showed.

Both China and South Korea, and also Hong Kong and Singapore, all with diverse political systems, have done a pretty good job.

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Working Remotely Permanently To Solve Global Warming
The Police: Don't Stand So Close To Me
AOC Is Joshua?
Coronavirus News (20)
Make Believe
Coronavirus News (19)
Imagine FDR Delegating World War II To Governors

Coronavirus News (22)

рдХोрд░ोрдиाрд╕ँрдЧ рдирдбрд░ाрдПрдХो рдПрдЙрдЯा рдпुрд░ोрдкेрд▓ी рджेрд╢
рдЕрдк्рд░िрд▓ рдлूрд▓ рдирдордиाрдЙрдиे рдЧुрдЧрд▓рдХो рдиिрд░्рдгрдп
рдкोрд░्рдЪुрдЧрд▓рдоा рдПрдЙрдЯै рдл्рд▓्рдпाрдЯрдоा рдмрд╕्рдиे рео рдиेрдкाрд▓ी рдХोрд░ोрдиा рд╕ंрдХ्рд░рдоिрдд
Coronavirus: India's pandemic lockdown turns into a human tragedy



Coronavirus crisis scrambles 2020 political calculus
Fauci: Mask-wearing recommendation under ‘very serious consideration’
Japan's coronavirus containment strategy faces breaking point
Don't Nag Your Husband During Lockdown, Malaysia's Government Advises Women
Malaysia apologises for telling women not to nag during lockdown
Jersey City alone has more coronavirus cases than 23 U.S. states
FDA reportedly approves two-minute coronavirus antibody testing kit [Update: Hoax?]
New estimates show 25% to 50% of coronavirus carriers don't even have symptoms and can infect others blindly
New CDC data shows danger of coronavirus for those with diabetes, heart or lung disease, other chronic conditions

Tuesday, March 31, 2020

Coronavirus News (21)

Post-COVID: Which Behaviors Will Stick? there will also be some amount of permanent restructuring. ....... The most obvious one is business travel and remote work. Everyone who can is learning how to do this now — including companies/teams/individuals that may have resisted it mightily in the past. Moving forward, it’s going to be much harder to justify an in-person-only culture. Virtual conferences & meetings have drawbacks, for sure, but they also have advantages. I suspect that coming out of the crisis, many professionals will have a permanently higher bar for justifying work travel. ........

I have never been more active with friends and family — especially, for some reason, those who live at a distance — as much as recently..... I have never done video chats with groups of friends and now that’s regular.

..... everyone’s at home with nothing to do. ....... What is most interesting to me is not the social changes, but the institutional ones. In the cases of work, learning and healthcare, we are talking about massive institutions that are learning new behaviors on-the-fly. This is a big deal — we’re probably seeing years-worth of change occurring over a matter of weeks. It’s astonishing




Big Changes Coming This pandemic has become a forcing function that quickly exposes a lot of the problems in the healthcare system at once. Because of how slow the industry is and the number of interest groups that fight to maintain the status quo, healthcare has been a boiling frog that has been unable to swiftly make changes and has been slowly descending into an increasingly shittier state......

this pandemic is to the healthcare system as 9/11 was for travel: an immediate macro event that changed the industry forever.

....... Medicare is also reimbursing for telemedicine visits, and many commercial insurers are covering visits for the same rates they would normally have covered for an in-person visit. ....... But the most non-sensical rule of all which is FINALLY being addressed during this crisis is the fact that doctors typically have had to get licensed in every single state to see a patient in that state. I have never understood this rule - the actual practice of medicine doesn’t have that kind of variance state-by-state.


Very Very Sad: Every 6 minutes ONE New Yorker is dying!

Posted by Chandra Prakash Sharma on Monday, March 30, 2020

China has won the World War III. Period. #CoronavirusChinaVsUSA

Posted by Bijay Raut on Sunday, March 29, 2020

The total cases of USA has reached more than double than that of China. How come the recovery rate of China is almost 4...

Posted by Subhash Chandra Shah on Tuesday, March 31, 2020

True: if Zoom classes are effective enough, why pay very high tuition charges for in-person classes? Or, as consumer...

Posted by Ashutosh Tiwari on Tuesday, March 31, 2020

“The world economy will go into recession this year with a predicted loss of trillions of dollars of global income due...

Posted by Bijay Raut on Tuesday, March 31, 2020

Drink hot water , soup ЁЯег,tea ☕️ and hot milk ЁЯеЫ every one hours...... this is what chinese people are doing these days ..to protect from covid-19

Posted by Jimmy Gurung on Monday, March 30, 2020

Meanwhile in China: “March economic activity returns to expansion.” (Source: China 24 TV, Beijing, March 31, 2020) #ChinaIsExapandingWhileWorldIsBleeding

Posted by Bijay Raut on Tuesday, March 31, 2020

Self-isolation with 20 girlfriends...no comment...

Posted by Jay Nishaant on Tuesday, March 31, 2020

Likelihood of survival of coronavirus disease 2019 "A case fatality ratio [CFR] of an infectious disease measures the...

Posted by Madhav Bhatta on Tuesday, March 31, 2020

Hopefully, it looks like a turning point of the CoViD-19 epidemic in Italy. From the epidemic curve below, it is clear...

Posted by Shankar Yadav on Tuesday, March 31, 2020


FDA authorizes two-minute antibody testing kit to detect coronavirus
First-Ever Evictions Database Shows: 'We're In the Middle Of A Housing Crisis'
Coronavirus: Gordon Brown calls for new global government to fight impact of Covid-19 Former prime minister Gordon Brown has called for the creation of a temporary form of global government to be assembled to provide a unified body to tackle coronavirus. .....

“This is not something that can be dealt with in one country,” he said, according to The Guardian. “There has to be a coordinated global response.”

....... “This is first and foremost a medical emergency and there has to be joint action to deal with that. But the more you intervene to deal with the medical emergency, the more you put economies at risk.” ....... “With the healthcare crisis, the idea of individual self-isolation is now commonplace, but on the international stage, national self-isolation has taken off,” he said, according to PA. ....... “In the post-Cold War unipolar era, America acted multilaterally. Now, and in a multipolar era, America acts unilaterally, and aggressive America first, us-versus-them nationalism — along with China first, India first, Russia first, Brazil first, and Turkey first – is going global.........

“But even the most isolationist nations must know that it is not enough to stop coronavirus in one country: it has to be stopped in every country.



Only India, China will survive coronavirus, rest of the entire world economy will go into recession: UN
Existing Drugs May Work Against Covid-19. AI Is Screening Thousands to Find Out
What Would Life on Mars Be Like? Millions of Us Are Getting a Taste
NEW APP ATTEMPTS TO DETECT SIGNS OF COVID-19 USING VOICE ANALYSIS
“IMMUNITY PASSPORTS” COULD HELP SOCIETY GET BACK TO NORMAL
GE WORKERS PROTEST: WE WANT TO BUILD VENTILATORS, LET US BUILD VENTILATORS
5 practical ways to ace a virtual negotiation If you’re like most of the managers and executives that I work with at companies big and small, you have a very strong preference for face-to-face negotiation over the screen-to-screen variety. ...... Why is that? ..... It’s in part because any negotiation contains two motivations: a cooperative element (“We’re all here because we perceive some synergies”) and a more obvious competitive element (“Each of us is trying to get the best possible deal for ourselves”). Those mixed motivations can result in tension. ........ But “e-negotiations” escalate that tension even further because parties feel they won’t be able to “read the person” as well as in an in-person interaction and make immediate, in-the-moment adjustments—all in hopes of sealing the perfect deal and avoiding being taken to the proverbial cleaners. .............

those who negotiate online are: less likely to reach deals and more likely to end up at a (costly) impasse; less likely to develop trust and more likely to lose trust during the interchange; less likely to build rapport

........ when they do reach deals, the deals are more likely to be less win-win, meaning more opportunity left on the table. ...... I’ve seen a lot of negotiations break down before they even start because parties are offended at how they are being treated by the other party. ........ it’s absolutely true that there is a “first-mover” advantage in negotiation (she who makes the first offer usually prevails), but this should not translate into shoving a term sheet into the virtual hands of the receiving party before you even say hello. ...... “late” first offers, those that are presented after appropriate pleasantries are exchanged and the proverbial table is set, are more effective than early first offers. ..... negotiation is inherently a competitive enterprise, and that can bring out the “Mr. or Ms. Hyde” in each of us. So, have a way of checking your own expression and body language, where possible. In a virtual negotiation, this can be very easy, as you’ll likely see your own image on the screen, along with the counterparty. Pay attention to it.




Cities after coronavirus: how Covid-19 could radically alter urban life “If you go back through history and look at the regulations brought in to control cities at times of crisis, from the French revolution to 9/11 in the US, many of them took years or even centuries to unravel” .........

Social distancing has, ironically, drawn some of us closer than ever before.

Whether such groups survive beyond the end of coronavirus to have a meaningful impact on our urban future depends, in part, on what sort of political lessons we learn from the crisis........ in Los Angeles, homeless citizens have seized vacant homes, drawing support from some lawmakers. ..... we are potentially seeing a fundamental shift in urban social relations. “City residents are becoming aware of desires that they didn’t realise they had before,” he says, “which is for more human contact, for links to people who are unlike themselves.”



Coronavirus does spread through the air and lingers in rooms long after patients have left, study finds The killer coronavirus can spread through the air and remain contagious for hours, another study has suggested....... US scientists found high levels of the bug lurking in the air in rooms long after patients had left......What's more is that traces of the coronavirus were also discovered in hospital corridors outside patients' rooms, where staff had been coming in and out..... The University of Nebraska researchers behind the study say the finding highlights the importance of protective clothing for healthcare workers. .......It follows a wealth of studies that have suggested the highly contagious disease does not just spread via droplets in a cough or sneeze....... Scientists around the world are scrambling to understand how the virus, which has now infected 785,282 people and killed almost 38,000, sheds and spreads.

Working Remotely Permanently To Solve Global Warming

It has not even been a month, and the oil industry has already been pushed to the edge. Families are discovering family members. Something good can come out of this. This pandemic has vastly strengthened the case for a rapid global rollout of 5G.



Life and work will never be the same in China as the country attempts a post-virus tech restart While the surge in use of online tools during the outbreak may subside, it has offered a glimpse of the future of working life ..... robots in hospitals, health code apps, online education and remote working ..... accelerating long-term trends such as the digitalisation of education, work and even people. ...... “Tools like this are changing the traditional way of thinking that a meeting can only happen when people gather physically,” she said. “I personally hope my school will continue using the app [after the outbreak is over].” ...... Remote working and online education tools have been among the biggest beneficiaries during the outbreak .....

a glimpse of the future of working life.

...... the digitalisation of education could democratise education resources for a large number of users at lower cost. For instance, China’s prestigious schools like Tsinghua University offered online courses on short video app Douyin during the outbreak. One user commented “I can’t believe I’m in a Tsinghua University class!” ...... wider acceptance of online life could expedite the digitisation of businesses and industries, a key part of China’s overall ambition to utilise technology to power the country’s buildout of “new digital infrastructure”. ....... remote working, e-commerce, online education, and online services will now become new options for more companies under the new circumstances ..... The buildout of digital infrastructure in China involves everything from new high-speed railway lines to smart traffic management systems, all of which will be underpinned by next generation mobile networks that enable faster data transmission speeds and greater connectivity. China has already pledged billions of yuan in investments towards building 5G networks and data centres. ...... “The coronavirus outbreak has actually called closer attention to the importance of the digitisation of people” ..... industrial internet or transportation ........ the current experiment has exposed limitations on the application of remote working and e-learning. ........ March 9, 2020. With almost no new Covid-19 cases being reported in Beijing, workers are slowly returning to their offices with masks on and disinfectant in hand. ........ While the country has the world’s biggest internet population of 854 million people, 541 million are still off the grid, with the majority located in rural villages ....... Some students in Hubei province, where the disease hit the hardest, had to hike to the top of mountains to search for an internet signal ...... “The only limitation [of remote working] is that it can only monitor computer-based work. It won't work to monitor remote plumbers or electricians or manufacturing jobs.”


2 weeks in: what we’ve learned about remote work we are discovering what it’s really like to be home with our families at all times, while also trying to stay productive and connected to our work teams. ....... a completely remote team

The Police: Don't Stand So Close To Me



Don't Stand So Close To Me
The Police

[Verse 1]
Young teacher, the subject
Of schoolgirl fantasy
She wants him so badly
Knows what she wants to be
Inside her there's longing
This girl's an open page
Book marking, she's so close now
This girl is half his age

[Chorus]
Don't stand, don't stand so
Don't stand so close to me
Don't stand, don't stand so
Don't stand so close to me

[Verse 2]
Her friends are so jealous
You know how bad girls get
Sometimes it's not so easy
To be the teacher's pet
Temptation, frustration
So bad it makes him cry
Wet bus stop, she's waiting
His car is warm and dry

[Chorus]
Don't stand, don't stand so
Don't stand so close to me
Don't stand, don't stand so
Don't stand so close to me

[Verse 3]
Loose talk in the classroom
To hurt they try and try
Strong words in the staffroom
The accusations fly
It's no use, he sees her
He starts to shake and cough
Just like the old man in
That book by Nabokov

[Outro]
Don't stand so close to me
Please don't stand so close to me

Monday, March 30, 2020

AOC Is Joshua?

“If Bernie is Moses, then AOC is Joshua”

Coronavirus News (20)

US extends social distancing to April 30 in hopes of avoiding 100,000 coronavirus deaths
Modi seeks 'forgiveness' from India's poor over COVID-19 lockdown Modi apologises as 21-day lockdown stings millions, leaving the poor hungry and forcing migrant workers to flee cities.
Pelosi on Trump's coronavirus response: 'As the President fiddles, people are dying'
Coronavirus updates: Trump extends shutdown, Fauci warns 200,000 could die
India says no plan to extend coronavirus lockdown as poor struggle
New Yorkers who break social distancing rules will now face fines up to $500

Here in NYC, Our very close friends are infected by Corona Virus, Thanks god they are recovering fast. But, US govt is...

Posted by Anzan Shrestha on Saturday, March 28, 2020

Because of your powerful blessings and prayers I am free from the risk and the doctors going to discharge me tomorrow...

Posted by Shambhu Moktan on Saturday, March 28, 2020

My simple advice to folks in USA: Please lobby for Total Lockdown soon. Trump is foolish not to even lockdown NY. There is no other way. USA will sink further if delayed! #CoronavirusInUSA

Posted by Bijay Raut on Sunday, March 29, 2020


Oil prices fall to 17-year low as Saudi Arabia-Russia standoff continues, coronavirus hits demand
US crude oil price falls below $20 Fall in demand due to virus creates surplus that risks overwhelming storage capacity ..... traders bet production would have to shut to cope with the collapse in demand from the coronavirus pandemic. ..... The global oil industry is facing its biggest demand drop in history ....... While demand has collapsed, the supply of oil has also increased rapidly because of the price war between Saudi Arabia and Russia. Traders now believe the surplus could approach 25m barrels a day next month, a level that could overwhelm storage capacity worldwide within weeks. ......

“This is a historic oil price collapse, and it is not done yet as the system physically runs out of places to put all the oil”

...... “The pain in the shale patch is going to be severe. We will see production shut-ins accelerate.” ...... Higher cost producers such as US shale and Canadian tar sands are broadly unprofitable at these price levels ....... the US oil industry, which expanded in the last decade to make America the world's top oil producer, could contract as much as 2.5m b/d by the end of 2021, from around 13m b/d of crude output now ..... Refineries are cutting back on processing crude oil into fuel, and oil companies could start shutting down producing wells




Minnesotans worry as COVID-19 spreads to nursing homes
Trump extends federal social distancing guidelines to April 30
'Stealth Transmission' of COVID-19 Demands Widespread Mask Usage

Saturday, March 28, 2020

Make Believe



Imagine FDR Delegating World War II To Governors

Coronavirus News (19)

Rhode Island Police to Hunt Down New Yorkers Seeking Refuge Rhode Island police began stopping cars with New York plates Friday. On Saturday, the National Guard will help them conduct house-to-house searches to find people who traveled from New York .... New York is the epicenter of the coronavirus outbreak in the U.S., on Friday reporting a total of 44,000 cases. ..... Rhode Island has just over 200, and it has begun an aggressive campaign to keep the virus out and New Yorkers contained, over objections from civil liberties advocates........ Raimondo, a Democrat, said she had consulted lawyers and said while she couldn’t close the border, she felt confident she could enforce a quarantine. ....... The maximum penalty for not complying: a fine of $500 and 90 days in prison. ....... Just before 1 p.m. Friday, state police were set up on Interstate 95 northbound, at the rest stop closest to the Connecticut border. A mile or two before that, motorists could see signs ordering all New York passenger vehicles to pull over at the rest stop.

'You are not absolutely invulnerable': Fauci talks to Trevor Noah about coronavirus The Covid-19 virus is “insidious and treacherous”, he said, “in that you can spread it easily”, even if you’re asymptomatic or have mild symptoms such as a cough or low fever....... the mortality of seasonal flu – the thing that you and I go through every season – the mortality is about 0.1%,” Fauci explained. “That’s a lot, and we get used to that mortality. But the mortality of this is about 10 times that. It’s at least 1%.” And the mortality rate can be “devastating” for certain populations, such as the elderly and those with underlying conditions such as heart disease, lung disease and diabetes.......

“The virus is the clock”

....... if this virus acts like every other virus that we know, once you get infected, get better, clear the virus, then you’ll have immunity that will prevent you from reinfection,” said Fauci. ....... Biden replied. “The coronavirus is not his fault, but the lack of alacrity, the speed with which he responded to these things, I think could be improved considerably. ....... “I don’t quite understand the lack of willingness to move rapidly and to let science dictate,” Biden continued. .......... On Late Night, Seth Meyers ranted about Trump’s narcissism even in a pandemic. “The president is supposed to be a public trust – you’re supposed to be able to distinguish between your own personal interests and the duties of the office,” he explained. “Now, sure, every president gets something out of it. Maybe they use it to meet girls [John F Kennedy] or they get a nice Netflix deal [Barack Obama] or they might even use it to score a sweet deal in real estate [Jimmy Carter, who builds Habitat for Humanity houses]. ..... “Ninety-five years old and still building houses – Jimmy Carter is the yin to Trump’s yang,” Meyers continued. “It’s like he has to do a good thing for every bad thing Trump does, one house at a time.” ........ Case in point: CNN reported this week that Trump wants to prematurely open up the US by Easter because he’s bored of isolation. “Hey man, welcome to the club! We’re all stuck inside,” Meyers fumed. ...... Trump has reportedly demonstrated typical symptoms of cabin fever: crashing meetings, inserting himself into conversations and once-ignored briefs. Which means “the answer to the riddle ‘How do you get the president to go to a meeting?’” said Meyers, “is a fucking pandemic”.

Five superpowers ruling the world in 2050 In 30 years, most of the world’s largest economies will be those that are emerging today, surpassing current behemoths such as the US, Japan and Germany. ........ surpassing the US (dropping from 2nd to 3rd), Japan (dropping from 4th to 8th) and Germany (dropping from 5th to 9th). ....... Even relatively smaller economies like Vietnam, the Philippines and Nigeria will see huge leaps in their respective rankings over the next three decades ...... By 2050, India is projected to be the world’s second-largest economy (overtaking the United States) and will account for 15% of the world’s total GDP. ...... Brazil ...This South American powerhouse is set to be the world’s fifth-largest economy by 2050, overtaking Japan, Germany and Russia in the process. ....... “Brazil is one of the world’s giants of mining, agriculture and manufacturing, and it has a strong and rapidly growing service sector. I’m also seeing an increase in tourism investment.” .......... more than 30% of Nigerian residents are new entrepreneurs or the owner-manager of a new business, among the highest rate in the world.



Millions of workers in the US won't be getting stimulus checks Unauthorized workers make up about 5% of the US labor force -- around 7.6 million people...... the coronavirus crisis that's devastated global markets, overwhelmed hospitals and left millions without jobs is having an outsized impact on undocumented workers. Many had service-sector jobs that were decimated by the pandemic. Those who remain employed largely don't have the option of working from home, and are risking their safety to keep supply chains going. ...... because of the threat the novel coronavirus poses, advocates argue this shouldn't be treated as business as usual. In a public health crisis, they say, if someone feels like they can't miss work or can't afford medical care, that impacts the entire community. ....... "From a public health perspective, you cannot have an effective national response to a pandemic that excludes enormous segments of the population. That's both illogical and immoral" ........ more access to testing and emergency medical care for immigrants in the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals and Temporary Protected Status programs. ...... "Everyone's health literally depends on the health of your neighbor. And guess what? Everyone has an immigrant neighbor." ...... "The government is making us invisible. The fact that I'm a person without documents in this country does not mean that I'm not a human being, that I'm not hungry," she says. "The government uses us when it needs us. ... We keep their houses clean, we take care of their children and their elders. And we do it with a lot of love."

The next financial crisis: A collapse of the mortgage system
Coronavirus measures could cause global food shortage, UN warns
70 million people in the US are under a severe weather threat that includes tornadoes and hail
Coronavirus live news: confirmed cases around the world pass 600,000
Trump tweets blame in all directions over ventilators for coronavirus, except at himself
Coronavirus Is A Defining Test And American Government Is Failing It It’s not just Trump. Our politics are unfit for this calamity.
Teen who may have died of coronavirus was turned away from urgent care due to lack of insurance
Gavin Newsom takes new tone with Trump as he steers California during coronavirus crisis
Not wearing masks to protect against coronavirus is a ‘big mistake,’ top Chinese scientist says
New York may be weeks away from reaching a peak in coronavirus cases. Now other states are preparing for surges
Public health expert: ‘Coronavirus is going to hit every city in America’










Imagine FDR Delegating World War II To Governors

World War II did not go to every country on earth. This pandemic has. World War II did not freeze national economies and supply chains, although there were unmistakable disruptions. My point is, on scale, this is big. World War II seems to be the only available metaphor. But that is like using earth as a metaphor to talk about Jupiter. Jupiter is also a planet, alright.

And Trump has been botching it.
  • He spent precious weeks in denial. He was going to tweet the pandemic away. 
  • A nationwide lockdown lasting three weeks would have been the least disruptive economically and the most effective medically. When testing everyone is not an option, putting everyone in isolation for three weeks is enough time for the infected to start showing symptoms and qualify for further self-isolation. 
  • Just like FDR needed airplanes in huge numbers, this pandemic is asking for supplies: masks, gloves, ventilators, hospital beds. This pandemic would be a good reason to call a truce on the trade war with China. China seems to have an immediate capacity to produce those things plenty. If not, the wartime act for this needed to be put to practice. Domestic production needed to be ramped up. 
  • Trump is in a hurry to get America back to work. Because if the economy does not go back to pre-pandemic, he is toast in November. The fastest way to get America back to work is through widespread testing. Everyone who needs to or wants to get tested should be able to get tested with results showing up within the hour. Then you become much better at identifying and isolating people. And the rest can go to work. 
  • But is is already late. The sky has already fallen. The unemployment numbers already have passed Depression levels. Numerous businesses have already gone belly up. 
  • With Trump not only is the national dimension missing, but the global dimension is also missing. This pandemic is global. Only a coordinated global dimension will work. In the aftermath of 9/11 the FBI and the CIA learned to work together. Now national governments will have to learn that same lesson. Otherwise you are looking at massive deaths and massive economic disruption. 
  • Trump is unfit for the moment. He has failed to rise to the occasion. Trump has botched it bigly.


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