Tuesday, August 16, 2016

Target Texas


Trump leads only by 6 points in Texas

 In a head to head contest Trump leads Clinton 50-44 in the state, which Mitt Romney won by 16 points in 2012..... Trump's lead is based entirely on his holding a 63-33 advantage among seniors. ..... Trump has a 69/25 lead with white voters but the reason the state's so competitive overall is that among non-white voters Clinton has a 73-21 lead, including a 68-27 edge with the state's booming Hispanic population......  'just' 35% of Trump supporters think Barack Obama founded ISIS....... Finally we polled on Texas secession. Overall 26% of voters would support leaving the United States to 59% who want to stay, and 15% who aren't sure either way. Among Trump voters support for secession goes up to 37%, with only 49% opposed to exiting. If you look at the Presidential race in Texas only among voters who are opposed to seceding from the United State, Clinton leads Trump 54/41. But that's offset by Trump's 72/20 advantage with the secession crowd. If Clinton is elected President this fall, the Trump voters really want out- in that case 61% say they'd support seceding from the United States, to only 29% who would stick around.

Hillary Clinton, Tim Kaine, Bill Clinton, Elizabeth Warren, Barack Obama, Michelle Obama, Joe Biden, everybody should go spend a few weeks in Texas. Texas is the big prize. Texas can be had. The entire South can be had if Hillary is willing to play the abortion card.

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